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Premier League
Referee: A Taylor
Man United
S U S T S
1–6
Full-time
Tottenham
S U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Man United Tottenham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,2
Scored
1,8
2,2
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,2
This season — Premier League · 2/3 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
100%
33%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
4,5
3,3
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
2,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–4

38% Possession 62%
5 Shots 22
2 Shots on target 8
1 Blocked shots 8
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 4
1 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Man United 15. · Tottenham 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Everton 4 4 0 0 +7 12
2 Leicester 4 3 0 1 +5 9
3 Liverpool 3 3 0 0 +5 9
4 Arsenal 4 3 0 1 +3 9
5 Chelsea 4 2 1 1 +4 7
6 Leeds 4 2 1 1 +1 7
7 Newcastle 4 2 1 1 +1 7
8 West Ham 4 2 0 2 +4 6
9 Aston Villa 2 2 0 0 +4 6
10 Southampton 4 2 0 2 -1 6
11 Crystal Palace 4 2 0 2 -2 6
12 Wolves 4 2 0 2 -3 6
13 Tottenham 3 1 1 1 +2 4
14 Man City 3 1 1 1 -1 4
15 Man United 2 1 0 1 -1 3
16 Brighton 4 1 0 3 -2 3
17 West Brom 4 0 1 3 -8 1
18 Burnley 3 0 0 3 -5 0
19 Sheffield United 4 0 0 4 -5 0
20 Fulham 4 0 0 4 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Man United Tottenham
1–0 Bruno Fernandes
2′
4′
T. Ndombèlé 1–1
7′
Son Heung-Min 1–2
H. Kane
Anthony Martial 🟥
28′
29′
🟨 Érik Lamela
30′
H. Kane 1–3
Son Heung-Min
37′
Son Heung-Min 1–4
S. Aurier
Half-time 1–4
S. McTominay 🔁
↦ N. Matić
46′
Fred 🔁
↦ Bruno Fernandes
46′
46′
🔁 Lucas Moura
↦ E. Lamela
51′
S. Aurier 1–5
P. Højbjerg
Eric Bailly 🟨
63′
D. van de Beek 🔁
↦ M. Greenwood
67′
69′
🔁 D. Alli
↦ T. Ndombèlé
73′
🔁 B. Davies
↦ Son Heung-Min
79′
H. Kane 1–6
Luke Shaw 🟨
84′
Full-time 1–6

Line-ups

Man United

4-2-3-1
1 David de Gea G
5 H. Maguire D
23 L. Shaw D
3 E. Bailly D
29 A. Wan-Bissaka D
31 N. Matić M
6 P. Pogba M
18 Bruno Fernandes M
9 A. Martial F
10 M. Rashford M
11 M. Greenwood M
Bench (7)
39 S. McTominay
17 Fred
34 D. van de Beek
26 D. Henderson
2 V. Lindelöf
8 Mata
14 J. Lingard

Coach: O. Solskjær

Tottenham

4-3-3
1 H. Lloris G
24 S. Aurier D
6 D. Sánchez D
3 Reguilón D
17 M. Sissoko M
11 E. Lamela F
5 P. Højbjerg M
15 E. Dier D
28 T. Ndombèlé M
7 Son Heung-Min F
10 H. Kane F
Bench (7)
27 Lucas Moura
20 D. Alli
33 B. Davies
12 J. Hart
2 M. Doherty
8 H. Winks
4 T. Alderweireld

Coach: José Mourinho

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,92
U
3,71
B ✓
3,97
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,79
U2,5
2,04
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Taylor · 215 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.