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Ligue 1

Referee: M Bollengier

Angers

S T T U T

1–1

Full-time

Le Havre

T U T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Angers Le Havre

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,7

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,0

Scored

0,5

0,7

Conceded

1,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,3

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ligue 1 · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 26%

31%

21%

Points per game

1,1

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 31%

28%

34%

Both score Ø 41%

34%

48%

Average goals

2,2

2,1

Scored

0,9

0,8

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,07 xG 1,45

44% Possession 56%

11 Shots 16

5 Shots on target 8

3 Blocked shots 3

7 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 3

2 Offside 4

15 Free kicks against 20

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Angers 13. · Le Havre 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Paris SG	27	20	3	4	+38	+35.0	63
2	Lens	29	20	2	7	+28	+20.1	62
3	Lille	29	16	5	8	+15	+15.0	53
4	Marseille	30	16	4	10	+18	+14.5	52
5	Lyon	29	15	6	8	+14	+6.1	51
6	Rennes	29	14	8	7	+8	+1.0	50
7	Monaco	29	15	4	10	+7	+7.6	49
8	Strasbourg	28	12	7	9	+12	+12.5	43
9	Lorient	30	10	11	9	-4	-1.9	41
10	Toulouse	30	10	7	13	-1	-1.7	37
11	Brest	28	10	6	12	-6	-2.5	36
12	Paris FC	29	8	11	10	-8	-13.0	35
13	Angers	29	9	6	14	-14	-18.9	33
14	Le Havre	29	6	11	12	-13	-12.2	29
15	Nice	29	7	7	15	-22	-15.4	28
16	Auxerre	29	5	9	15	-14	-7.7	24
17	Nantes	28	4	7	17	-21	-14.3	19
18	Metz	29	3	6	20	-37	-24.2	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lens	15	13	0	2	+23	+20.3	39
2	Paris SG	13	11	1	1	+26	+18.3	34
3	Marseille	15	10	3	2	+19	+12.4	33
4	Lyon	14	10	1	3	+13	+7.3	31
5	Monaco	15	10	1	4	+11	+8.2	31
6	Lorient	15	8	6	1	+9	+4.7	30
7	Rennes	15	8	4	3	+11	+7.3	28
8	Strasbourg	14	8	3	3	+14	+15.1	27
9	Lille	14	8	3	3	+9	+11.5	27
10	Brest	14	7	3	4	+6	+7.2	24
11	Le Havre	15	5	7	3	+3	+0.8	22
12	Angers	14	6	3	5	+1	-4.8	21
13	Toulouse	15	5	5	5	+0	+5.2	20
14	Paris FC	14	5	4	5	-3	-3.7	19
15	Nice	15	4	6	5	-8	-4.0	18
16	Auxerre	15	4	4	7	-2	+0.5	16
17	Metz	14	2	4	8	-10	-1.3	10
18	Nantes	14	2	2	10	-12	-7.3	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Paris SG	14	9	2	3	+12	+16.7	29
2	Lille	15	8	2	5	+6	+3.5	26
3	Lens	14	7	2	5	+5	-0.2	23
4	Rennes	14	6	4	4	-3	-6.3	22
5	Lyon	15	5	5	5	+1	-1.1	20
6	Marseille	15	6	1	8	-1	+2.1	19
7	Monaco	14	5	3	6	-4	-0.7	18
8	Toulouse	15	5	2	8	-1	-6.9	17
9	Strasbourg	14	4	4	6	-2	-2.6	16
10	Paris FC	15	3	7	5	-5	-9.4	16
11	Brest	14	3	3	8	-12	-9.7	12
12	Angers	15	3	3	9	-15	-14.1	12
13	Nantes	14	2	5	7	-9	-6.9	11
14	Lorient	15	2	5	8	-13	-6.5	11
15	Nice	14	3	1	10	-14	-11.5	10
16	Auxerre	14	1	5	8	-12	-8.2	8
17	Le Havre	14	1	4	9	-16	-13.0	7
18	Metz	15	1	2	12	-27	-22.9	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.