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Ligue 1

Referee: S Frappart

Monaco

S S U S S

3–1

Full-time

Le Havre

T T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Monaco Le Havre

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,5

2,8

Scored

2,2

1,2

Conceded

0,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,8

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ligue 1 · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 63%

75%

50%

Points per game

2,5

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

25%

50%

Both score Ø 38%

25%

50%

Average goals

2,0

3,3

Scored

1,8

1,5

Conceded

0,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,98 xG 0,57

62% Possession 38%

14 Shots 9

4 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 3

0 Goalkeeper saves 1

6 Corners 4

5 Offside 3

10 Free kicks against 17

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Monaco 3. · Le Havre 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Paris SG	5	4	1	0	+13	+10.2	13
2	Marseille	4	3	1	0	+8	+1.8	10
3	Monaco	4	3	1	0	+6	+5.5	10
4	Lens	5	2	3	0	+3	+3.8	9
5	Reims	5	2	2	1	+0	-6.0	8
6	Nice	5	2	1	2	+8	+5.7	7
7	Rennes	5	2	1	2	+3	+1.5	7
8	Nantes	4	2	1	1	+3	+0.7	7
9	Lille	5	2	1	2	+1	+0.6	7
10	Strasbourg	5	1	3	1	+1	+0.8	6
11	Le Havre	4	2	0	2	-1	-0.3	6
12	Toulouse	4	1	2	1	+0	+2.2	5
13	Lyon	4	1	1	2	-4	-2.5	4
14	Brest	4	1	0	3	-4	-2.1	3
15	Auxerre	4	1	0	3	-6	-4.2	3
16	St Etienne	5	1	0	4	-14	-10.1	3
17	Angers	4	0	1	3	-6	-3.3	1
18	Montpellier	4	0	1	3	-11	-4.2	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rennes	3	2	1	0	+6	+1.8	7
2	Paris SG	2	2	0	0	+8	+5.1	6
3	Nice	2	1	1	0	+8	+4.7	4
4	Marseille	2	1	1	0	+2	+0.9	4
5	Strasbourg	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.0	4
6	Lens	2	1	1	0	+2	+2.6	4
7	Monaco	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.3	4
8	Lille	3	1	1	1	+0	-1.4	4
9	Toulouse	3	1	1	1	+0	+2.5	4
10	Reims	3	1	1	1	-1	-2.7	4
11	Nantes	2	1	0	1	+1	+1.3	3
12	Brest	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.9	3
13	Lyon	2	1	0	1	-1	-2.0	3
14	Le Havre	2	1	0	1	-1	-0.5	3
15	St Etienne	2	1	0	1	-1	-1.3	3
16	Auxerre	2	1	0	1	-2	-1.7	3
17	Montpellier	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.1	1
18	Angers	2	0	0	2	-4	-1.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Paris SG	3	2	1	0	+5	+5.1	7
2	Marseille	2	2	0	0	+6	+0.9	6
3	Monaco	2	2	0	0	+5	+5.2	6
4	Lens	3	1	2	0	+1	+1.2	5
5	Nantes	2	1	1	0	+2	-0.7	4
6	Reims	2	1	1	0	+1	-3.3	4
7	Lille	2	1	0	1	+1	+2.0	3
8	Nice	3	1	0	2	+0	+1.0	3
9	Le Havre	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.2	3
10	Strasbourg	3	0	2	1	-1	-0.2	2
11	Toulouse	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.3	1
12	Angers	2	0	1	1	-2	-1.6	1
13	Lyon	2	0	1	1	-3	-0.5	1
14	Rennes	2	0	0	2	-3	-0.2	0
15	Auxerre	2	0	0	2	-4	-2.5	0
16	Brest	2	0	0	2	-4	-4.0	0
17	Montpellier	2	0	0	2	-9	-4.1	0
18	St Etienne	3	0	0	3	-13	-8.9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.