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Ligue 1
Referee: Jeremy Stinat
Angers
U T T U U
0–2
Full-time
Lille
U S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Angers Lille
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
83%
17%
Average goals
2,7
1,7
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
1,8
0,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

1,99 xG 1,24
57% Possession 43%
20 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 8
8 Blocked shots 3
6 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Corners 3
2 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

22. Feb -26 Angers – Lille 0–1 2. Nov -25 Lille – Angers 1–0 27. Apr -25 Angers – Lille 0–2 24. Aug -24 Lille – Angers 2–0 8. Apr -23 Angers – Lille 1–0

Match report

Angers Lille
11′
⚽ Olivier Giroud 0–1
Nabil Bentaleb
Anthony Bermont 🟨
22′
31′
⚽ Tiago Santos 0–2
Half-time 0–2
Prosper Peter 🔁
↦ Anthony Bermont
57′
57′
🔁 Félix Correia
↦ Başar Önal
63′
🔁 Osame Sahraoui
↦ Ethan Mbappé
64′
🔁 Gaëtan Perrin
↦ Olivier Giroud
72′
🟨 Hakon Arnar Haraldsson
Mamadou Usman Simbakoli 🔁
↦ Amine El Ouazzani
73′
Harouna Djibirin 🔁
↦ Jim Allevinah
73′
74′
🟨 Romain Perraud
76′
🔁 Isaac Cossier
↦ Hakon Arnar Haraldsson
76′
🔁 Calvin Verdonk
↦ Romain Perraud
Bané Diatta 🔁
↦ Yassin Belkhdim
85′
Carlens Arcus 🔁
↦ Lilian Raolisoa
85′
Mamadou Usman Simbakoli 🟨
90′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Angers

4-2-3-1
1 Anthony Lopes G
27 Lilian Raolisoa D
4 Ousmane Camara D
21 Jordan Lefort D
3 Jacques Ekomié D
8 Branco Van den Boomen M
14 Yassin Belkhdim M
18 Jim Allevinah M
26 Anthony Bermont M
10 Amine Sbai M
19 Amine El Ouazzani F
Bench (9)
9 Prosper Peter
7 Mamadou Usman Simbakoli
11 Harouna Djibirin
2 Carlens Arcus
36 Bané Diatta
16 Melvin Zinga
24 Emmanuel Biumla
17 Joseph Kalulu Kyatengwa
34 Maël Gernigon

Coach: Stephane Gilli

Lille

4-2-3-1
1 Berke Özer G
22 Tiago Santos D
3 Nathan Ngoy D
4 Alexsandro Ribeiro D
15 Romain Perraud D
17 Ngal'ayel Mukau M
6 Nabil Bentaleb M
8 Ethan Mbappé M
10 Hakon Arnar Haraldsson M
19 Başar Önal M
9 Olivier Giroud F
Bench (9)
27 Félix Correia
11 Osame Sahraoui
28 Gaëtan Perrin
24 Calvin Verdonk
26 Isaac Cossier
16 Arnaud Bodart
2 Loun Srdanovic
20 Noah Edjouma
35 Soriba Diaoune

Coach: Davide Ancelotti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,88
🔒
U
3,69
🔒
B ✓
1,69
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
1,94
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,80
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Jeremy Stinat · 13 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
27,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.