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Ligue 1
Referee: François Letexier
Auxerre
T T T S T
1–2
Full-time
Lens
S S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Auxerre Lens
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,0
2,2
Scored
0,7
1,3
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ligue 1 · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,0
2,2
Scored
0,7
1,3
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,71 xG 0,41
57% Possession 43%
18 Shots 7
2 Shots on target 4
9 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 2
0 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 21
3 Yellow cards 7
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Auxerre 15. · Lens 7.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Marseille 7 5 0 2 +10 +5.5 15
2 Paris SG 6 5 0 1 +8 +3.8 15
3 Lyon 6 5 0 1 +5 +3.7 15
4 Monaco 6 4 0 2 +4 +0.8 12
5 Strasbourg 6 4 0 2 +2 +2.2 12
6 Lille 6 3 1 2 +4 +4.0 10
7 Lens 6 3 1 2 +3 +3.6 10
8 Paris FC 7 3 1 3 -1 -1.3 10
9 Rennes 6 2 3 1 -1 -3.1 9
10 Brest 7 2 2 3 +0 +0.3 8
11 Toulouse 6 2 1 3 -2 +0.5 7
12 Nice 6 2 1 3 -3 -0.9 7
13 Lorient 7 2 1 4 -7 -1.5 7
14 Nantes 7 1 3 3 -2 -5.1 6
15 Auxerre 6 2 0 4 -4 -3.5 6
16 Le Havre 6 1 2 3 -2 +1.9 5
17 Angers 6 1 2 3 -3 -2.9 5
18 Metz 7 0 2 5 -11 -8.1 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Auxerre Lens
14′
O. Edouard 0–1
A. Thomasson
15′
🟨 Samson Baidoo
41′
🔁 R. Fofana
↦ O. Edouard
Half-time 0–1
46′
🟨 Ismaelo Ganiou
1–1 F. Sierralta
61′
Danny Namaso 🟨
62′
62′
🟨 Robin Risser
Gideon Mensah 🟨
65′
66′
🟨 Florian Thauvin
Elisha Owusu 🟨
68′
I. Osman 🔁
↦ L. Sinayoko
69′
73′
🟨 Ismaelo Ganiou
73′
🟥 Ismaelo Ganiou
R. Matondo 🔁
↦ E. Owusu
76′
81′
🔁 A. Sima
↦ F. Thauvin
81′
🔁 M. Guilavogui
↦ W. Said
L. Sy 🔁
↦ F. Sierralta
84′
87′
🟨 Adrien Thomasson
90′
A. Sima 1–2
A. Thomasson
92′
🟨 Malang Sarr
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Auxerre

5-4-1
16 D. Leon G
7 J. Casimir D
29 M. Senaya D
4 F. Sierralta D
92 C. Akpa D
14 G. Mensah D
10 L. Sinayoko M
42 E. Owusu M
5 K. Danois M
19 D. Namaso M
9 S. Mara F
Bench (9)
40 T. De Percin
22 F. Oppegard
38 A. Petit Dol
27 L. Sy
36 T. Devernois
18 A. Diousse
34 R. Matondo
23 I. Osman
31 R. Rodin

Coach: Christophe Pélissier

Lens

3-4-2-1
40 R. Risser G
25 I. Ganiou D
6 S. Baidoo D
20 M. Sarr D
2 R. Aguilar M
8 M. Sangare M
28 A. Thomasson M
14 M. Udol M
10 F. Thauvin F
22 W. Said F
11 O. Edouard F
Bench (9)
1 R. Gurtner
13 Jhoanner Chavez
23 S. Abdulhamid
5 A. Bulatovic
15 H. Ojediran
7 F. Sotoca
19 A. Sima
29 M. Guilavogui
38 R. Fofana

Coach: Pierre Sage

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,65
U
3,61
B ✓
1,94
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,81
U2,5
1,95
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

François Letexier · 69 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.