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Coppa Italia

Referee: G Mucera

Lazio

S T T T S

0–2

Full-time

Mantova

S T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lazio Mantova

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,2

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

3,2

3,0

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

2,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

70% Possession 30%

21 Shots 12

3 Shots on target 7

6 Blocked shots 3

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 3

1 Offside 4

14 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fiorentina	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Frosinone	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Monza	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Parma	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Venezia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Arezzo	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Udinese	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Cagliari	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Torino	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Benevento	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Ascoli	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Verona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Virtus Entella	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Catanzaro	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Sudtirol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Vicenza	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Catania	2	0	1	1	-2	1
19	Modena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Padova	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Carrarese	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Ravenna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
23	Potenza	1	0	0	1	-2	0
24	Union Brescia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
25	Juve Stabia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
26	Avellino	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	+/−	P
1	Fiorentina	1	1	0	+3	3
2	Genoa	1	1	0	+3	3
3	Frosinone	1	1	0	+3	3
4	Monza	1	1	0	+3	3
5	Benevento	1	1	0	+2	3
6	Ascoli	1	1	0	+2	3
7	Parma	1	1	0	+2	3
8	Arezzo	1	1	0	+2	3
9	Venezia	1	1	0	+1	3
10	Udinese	1	1	0	+1	3
11	Cagliari	1	1	0	+1	3
12	Torino	1	1	0	+1	3
13	Verona	1	0	1	+0	1
14	Catanzaro	1	0	1	+0	1
15	Vicenza	1	0	1	+0	1

#	Team	K	U	T	+/−	P
1	Virtus Entella	1	1	0	+0	1
2	Sudtirol	1	1	0	+0	1
3	Catania	2	1	1	-2	1
4	Modena	1	0	1	-1	0
5	Padova	1	0	1	-1	0
6	Arezzo	1	0	1	-1	0
7	Carrarese	1	0	1	-1	0
8	Ravenna	1	0	1	-2	0
9	Potenza	1	0	1	-2	0
10	Union Brescia	1	0	1	-2	0
11	Benevento	1	0	1	-3	0
12	Ascoli	1	0	1	-3	0
13	Juve Stabia	1	0	1	-3	0
14	Avellino	1	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.