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Bundesliga
Referee: Daniel Siebert
Freiburg
S T S S S
4–1
Full-time
Werder Bremen
U T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Freiburg Werder Bremen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
4,7
2,7
Scored
3,0
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

2,37 xG 0,54
53% Possession 47%
19 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 3
7 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 5
0 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

7. Feb -26 Freiburg – Werder Bremen 1–0 20. Sep -25 Werder Bremen – Freiburg 0–3 21. Feb -25 Freiburg – Werder Bremen 5–0 5. Oct -24 Werder Bremen – Freiburg 0–1 27. Jan -24 Werder Bremen – Freiburg 3–1

Match report

Freiburg Werder Bremen
1–0 Y. Suzuki ⚽
J. Beste
29′
2–0 I. Matanovic ⚽
M. Ginter
45′
Half-time 2–0
C. Irie 🔁
↦ J. Beste
46′
46′
🔁 D. Stalmach
↦ S. Lynen
48′
🟨 Ludovit Reis
3–0 Y. Suzuki ⚽
48′
4–0 Y. Suzuki ⚽
I. Matanovic
55′
61′
🔁 C. Itten
↦ N. Fullkrug
61′
🔁 S. Musah
↦ J. Njinmah
M. Rosenfelder 🔁
↦ P. Lienhart
69′
P. Treu 🔁
↦ L. Kubler
69′
L. Holer 🔁
↦ I. Matanovic
73′
76′
⚽ D. Stalmach 4–1
M. Grull
K. Goto 🔁
↦ Y. Suzuki
80′
85′
🔁 P. Covic
↦ M. Grull
85′
🔁 E. Dinkci
↦ L. Reis
Keisuke Goto 🟨
88′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Freiburg

4-2-3-1
1 M. Backhaus G
17 L. Kubler D
28 M. Ginter D
3 P. Lienhart D
33 J. Makengo D
8 M. Eggestein M
16 Y. Engelhardt M
19 J. Beste M
14 Y. Suzuki M
7 D. Scherhant M
31 I. Matanovic F
Bench (9)
21 F. Muller
37 M. Rosenfelder
30 C. Gunter
29 P. Treu
27 B. Yilmaz
32 V. Grifo
9 L. Holer
42 K. Goto
22 C. Irie

Coach: Julian Schuster

Werder Bremen

4-3-3
1 K. Hein G
33 M. Schmetgens D
5 A. Pieper D
32 M. Friedl D
2 O. Deman D
20 Chuki M
14 S. Lynen M
15 L. Reis M
11 J. Njinmah F
10 N. Fullkrug F
17 M. Grull F
Bench (9)
30 A. Schlager
22 J. Malatini
24 P. Covic
23 D. Stalmach
38 P. Erevbenagie
26 C. Itten
18 E. Dinkci
7 S. Mbangula
29 S. Musah

Coach: Daniel Thioune

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,94
🔒
U
3,59
🔒
B
3,66
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,73
🔒
U2,5
2,03
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Daniel Siebert · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.