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Champions League
Referee: M Mariani
Real Madrid
S S S S S
2–0
Full-time
RB Leipzig
S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Real Madrid RB Leipzig
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
100%
83%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,8
4,2
Scored
3,0
2,5
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+2,2
+0,8
This season — Champions League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
3,0
5,0
Scored
3,0
1,0
Conceded
0,0
4,0
Goal diff per game
+3,0
-3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%
12 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Mariani · 156 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.