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Bundesliga
Referee: M Fritz
Freiburg
T S S T S
1–0
Full-time
Bochum
T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Freiburg Bochum
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
83%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,3
4,3
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
1,7
2,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,0
This season — Bundesliga · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
3,0
5,0
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
4,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

47% Possession 53%
28 Shots 15
12 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 12
2 Corners 5
15 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Freiburg 5. · Bochum 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 3 3 0 0 +14 9
2 M'gladbach 3 2 1 0 +3 7
3 Union Berlin 3 2 1 0 +3 7
4 Mainz 3 2 1 0 +2 7
5 Freiburg 3 2 0 1 +3 6
6 Hoffenheim 3 2 0 1 +2 6
7 Dortmund 3 2 0 1 +2 6
8 FC Koln 3 1 2 0 +2 5
9 Werder Bremen 3 1 2 0 +1 5
10 Augsburg 3 1 0 2 -4 3
11 RB Leipzig 3 0 2 1 -1 2
12 Stuttgart 3 0 2 1 -1 2
13 Schalke 04 3 0 2 1 -2 2
14 Wolfsburg 3 0 2 1 -2 2
15 Ein Frankfurt 3 0 2 1 -5 2
16 Hertha 3 0 1 2 -3 1
17 Leverkusen 3 0 0 3 -5 0
18 Bochum 3 0 0 3 -9 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Freiburg Bochum
42′
🟨 Konstantinos Stafylidis
Half-time 0–0
Roland Sallai ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
47′
48′
🟨 Manuel Riemann
1–0 V. Grifo
48′
53′
🔁 S. Janko
↦ K. Stafylidis
Jeong Woo-Yeong 🔁
↦ R. Dōan
73′
N. Weißhaupt 🔁
↦ V. Grifo
73′
N. Petersen 🔁
↦ M. Gregoritsch
73′
75′
🔁 P. Hofmann
↦ T. Asano
75′
🔁 J. Osei-Tutu
↦ J. Góralski
Roland Sallai 🟨
77′
Nicolas Höfler 🟨
83′
R. Wagner 🔁
↦ Y. Keitel
83′
85′
🔁 I. Ordets
↦ C. Gamboa
M. Gulde 🔁
↦ R. Sallai
87′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Freiburg

4-2-3-1
26 M. Flekken G
25 K. Sildillia D
28 M. Ginter D
3 P. Lienhart D
30 C. Günter D
27 N. Höfler M
14 Y. Keitel M
42 R. Dōan M
22 R. Sallai M
32 V. Grifo M
38 M. Gregoritsch F
Bench (9)
29 Jeong Woo-Yeong
33 N. Weißhaupt
18 N. Petersen
23 R. Wagner
5 M. Gulde
2 H. Siquet
1 B. Uphoff
11 D. Kyereh
31 K. Schlotterbeck

Coach: C. Streich

Bochum

4-2-3-1
1 M. Riemann G
2 C. Gamboa D
4 E. Mašović D
30 D. Heintz D
16 K. Stafylidis D
5 J. Góralski M
8 A. Losilla M
11 T. Asano M
7 K. Stöger M
17 G. Holtmann M
9 S. Zoller F
Bench (9)
23 S. Janko
33 P. Hofmann
18 J. Osei-Tutu
20 I. Ordets
6 P. Osterhage
21 M. Esser
25 M. Tolba
10 P. Förster
24 V. Lampropoulos

Coach: T. Reis

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,51
U
4,66
B
6,13
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,61
U2,5 ✓
2,34
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Fritz · 83 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.