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Champions League
Referee: João Pedro Pinheiro
RB Leipzig
U T S S T
1–4
Full-time
Shakhtar Donetsk

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

68% Possession 32%
13 Shots 5
2 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
9 Corners 1
2 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Match report

RB Leipzig Shakhtar Donetsk
16′
⚽ M. Shved 0–1
Half-time 0–1
D. Raum 🔁
↦ M. Halstenberg
46′
50′
🟨 Yukhym Konoplia
1–1 M. Simakan ⚽
D. Szoboszlai
57′
58′
⚽ M. Shved 1–2
M. Mudryk
60′
🟨 Anatolii Trubin
Mohamed Simakan 🟨
61′
61′
🟨 Mykhaylo Mudryk
61′
🔁 I. Petryak
↦ M. Shved
62′
🔁 N. Đurasek
↦ A. Bondarenko
E. Forsberg 🔁
↦ T. Werner
70′
B. Henrichs 🔁
↦ X. Schlager
70′
70′
🔁 L. Traoré
↦ O. Zubkov
76′
⚽ M. Mudryk 1–3
H. Sudakov
A. Haidara 🔁
↦ K. Laimer
82′
85′
⚽ L. Traoré 1–4
M. Mudryk
86′
🔁 S. Kryvtsov
↦ T. Stepanenko
90′
🟨 Neven Đurasek
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

RB Leipzig

4-2-3-1
1 P. Gulácsi G
2 M. Simakan D
4 W. Orbán D
37 A. Diallo D
23 M. Halstenberg D
27 K. Laimer M
24 X. Schlager M
17 D. Szoboszlai M
18 C. Nkunku M
11 T. Werner M
19 André Silva F
Bench (8)
22 D. Raum
10 E. Forsberg
39 B. Henrichs
8 A. Haidara
21 J. Blaswich
32 J. Gvardiol
38 Hugo Novoa
44 K. Kampl

Coach: D. Tedesco

Shakhtar Donetsk

4-1-4-1
81 A. Trubin G
23 Lucas Taylor D
5 V. Bondar D
22 M. Matvienko D
26 Y. Konoplya D
6 T. Stepanenko M
9 M. Shved M
21 A. Bondarenko M
8 H. Sudakov M
10 M. Mudryk M
11 O. Zubkov F
Bench (12)
34 I. Petryak
17 N. Đurasek
2 L. Traoré
4 S. Kryvtsov
27 O. Ocheretko
16 D. Kryskiv
14 D. Sikan
15 B. Mykhailichenko
32 E. Kozik
30 A. Pyatov
20 D. Topalov
1 O. Shevchenko

Coach: I. Jovičević

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

No matches played yet.

Referee

João Pedro Pinheiro · 221 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.