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Super League

Referee: D Blanco

Young Boys

S T U T S

2–0

Full-time

Luzern

S T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Young Boys Luzern

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

4,0

4,3

Scored

2,5

2,0

Conceded

1,5

2,3

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 35%

44%

25%

Points per game

1,6

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 78%

75%

81%

Both score Ø 75%

69%

81%

Average goals

3,9

3,8

Scored

2,1

1,9

Conceded

1,8

1,9

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,38 xG 0,96

62% Possession 38%

12 Shots 9

7 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 4

0 Offside 5

5 Free kicks against 12

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Young Boys 5. · Luzern 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	17	11	1	5	+11	-2.6	34
2	St. Gallen	17	10	1	6	+13	+2.1	31
3	Basel	16	8	3	5	+7	+11.5	27
4	Sion	17	7	6	4	+6	+5.5	27
5	Young Boys	16	7	5	4	+5	-0.9	26
6	Lugano	16	7	3	6	-1	-0.5	24
7	Zurich	17	7	3	7	-4	+3.4	24
8	Lausanne	16	5	5	6	+4	+6.3	20
9	Servette	16	5	4	7	-4	+1.3	19
10	Luzern	16	4	6	6	-1	-1.6	18
11	Grasshoppers	17	3	5	9	-12	-12.4	14
12	Winterthur	17	2	4	11	-24	-12.1	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	9	5	1	3	+5	-2.3	16
2	St. Gallen	9	5	0	4	+7	+4.4	15
3	Young Boys	7	4	2	1	+10	+5.9	14
4	Lausanne	9	4	2	3	+7	+7.5	14
5	Sion	9	4	2	3	+4	+0.3	14
6	Lugano	8	4	2	2	+3	+1.6	14
7	Basel	7	4	1	2	+7	+13.2	13
8	Zurich	9	4	1	4	-2	+3.9	13
9	Grasshoppers	8	2	3	3	+2	-4.0	9
10	Servette	8	2	3	3	-2	+0.8	9
11	Luzern	8	1	4	3	+2	+2.6	7
12	Winterthur	8	1	2	5	-5	-0.9	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	8	6	0	2	+6	-0.4	18
2	St. Gallen	8	5	1	2	+6	-2.3	16
3	Basel	9	4	2	3	+0	-1.7	14
4	Sion	8	3	4	1	+2	+5.2	13
5	Young Boys	9	3	3	3	-5	-6.7	12
6	Zurich	8	3	2	3	-2	-0.5	11
7	Luzern	8	3	2	3	-3	-4.2	11
8	Servette	8	3	1	4	-2	+0.5	10
9	Lugano	8	3	1	4	-4	-2.1	10
10	Lausanne	7	1	3	3	-3	-1.3	6
11	Grasshoppers	9	1	2	6	-14	-8.3	5
12	Winterthur	9	1	2	6	-19	-11.2	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.