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Super League

Referee: Lukas Fahndrich

Luzern

S U T S U

1–2

Full-time

Young Boys

T U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Luzern Young Boys

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,2

2,8

Scored

1,3

1,5

Conceded

1,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 40%

40%

Points per game

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

60%

Both score Ø 80%

80%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

1,6

Conceded

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,23 xG 1,64

43% Possession 57%

10 Shots 15

4 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 5

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

1 Corners 6

3 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 10

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Luzern 6. · Young Boys 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gallen	6	5	0	1	+10	+6.0	15
2	Thun	6	4	1	1	+5	-1.1	13
3	Basel	6	4	0	2	+4	+5.7	12
4	Sion	5	3	1	1	+5	-0.3	10
5	Zurich	6	3	1	2	-1	-1.0	10
6	Luzern	5	2	2	1	+1	-2.1	8
7	Young Boys	5	2	2	1	+1	-1.3	8
8	Grasshoppers	5	0	3	2	-2	-3.9	3
9	Lausanne	4	1	0	3	-2	+2.7	3
10	Lugano	5	1	0	4	-6	+1.8	3
11	Servette	5	0	2	3	-6	-0.1	2
12	Winterthur	6	0	2	4	-9	-6.3	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gallen	4	3	0	1	+6	+2.1	9
2	Young Boys	3	2	1	0	+4	+2.3	7
3	Basel	2	2	0	0	+4	+5.3	6
4	Thun	3	1	1	1	-1	-1.9	4
5	Sion	2	1	0	1	+3	-1.2	3
6	Lugano	2	1	0	1	+1	+0.3	3
7	Lausanne	3	1	0	2	-1	+1.0	3
8	Zurich	3	1	0	2	-4	-2.1	3
9	Servette	3	0	2	1	-3	+0.4	2
10	Grasshoppers	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.5	1
11	Luzern	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.4	1
12	Winterthur	3	0	1	2	-3	-1.7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	3	3	0	0	+6	+0.8	9
2	Zurich	3	2	1	0	+3	+1.1	7
3	Luzern	3	2	1	0	+2	-2.5	7
4	Sion	3	2	1	0	+2	+0.8	7
5	St. Gallen	2	2	0	0	+4	+3.9	6
6	Basel	4	2	0	2	+0	+0.4	6
7	Grasshoppers	3	0	2	1	-1	-3.4	2
8	Young Boys	2	0	1	1	-3	-3.6	1
9	Winterthur	3	0	1	2	-6	-4.5	1
10	Lausanne	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.7	0
11	Servette	2	0	0	2	-3	-0.5	0
12	Lugano	3	0	0	3	-7	+1.5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.