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Super League
Referee: Lukas Fahndrich
Sion
U U U T S
3–0
Full-time
Luzern
S U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sion Luzern
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
4,0
3,5
Scored
2,3
2,2
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
6,0
4,0
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
4,0
3,0
Goal diff per game
-2,0
-2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,83 xG 0,50
59% Possession 41%
18 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 2
3 Offside 0
7 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Sion 10. · Luzern 11.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Young Boys 2 2 0 0 +8 +4.3 6
2 St. Gallen 2 2 0 0 +2 +0.6 6
3 Lausanne 2 1 1 0 +1 -0.6 4
4 Lugano 1 1 0 0 +1 +1.0 3
5 Zurich 2 1 0 1 +0 -0.5 3
6 Basel 2 1 0 1 +0 +1.2 3
7 Thun 2 1 0 1 -4 -3.6 3
8 Grasshoppers 1 0 1 0 +0 -0.1 1
9 Vaduz 2 0 0 2 -2 -1.1 0
10 Sion 1 0 0 1 -2 -1.5 0
11 Luzern 1 0 0 1 -2 +0.9 0
12 Servette 2 0 0 2 -2 -0.5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sion Luzern
2′
ℹ️ Tyron Owusu
VAR: Card upgrade
3′
🟥 Tyron Owusu
1–0 D. Rrudhani
W. Boteli
9′
Half-time 1–0
58′
🔁 L. Villiger
↦ S. Meyer
58′
🔁 M. Zimmermann
↦ L. Silva
F. Surdez 🔁
↦ D. Rrudhani
63′
J. Lukembila 🔁
↦ R. Nivokazi
63′
T. Berdayes 🔁
↦ W. Boteli
63′
Numa Lavanchy 🟨
67′
2–0 T. Berdayes
J. Lukembila
70′
F. Sylla 🔁
↦ I. Chouaref
71′
76′
🔁 A. Ciganiks
↦ R. Dantas Fernandes
76′
🔁 A. Oehlers
↦ O. Kabwit
3–0 J. Lukembila
F. Surdez
77′
Marquinhos Cipriano 🔁
↦ N. Hefti
78′
82′
🔁 B. H. Freimann
↦ L. Luthi
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Sion

4-4-2
1 A. Racioppi G
14 N. Lavanchy D
5 N. Sow D
17 J. Kronig D
20 N. Hefti D
7 I. Chouaref M
88 A. Kabacalman M
8 Baltazar M
77 D. Rrudhani M
13 W. Boteli F
33 R. Nivokazi F
Bench (9)
12 F. Ruberto
6 Marquinhos Cipriano
19 F. Surdez
38 R. Kessler
9 J. Lukembila
29 T. Berdayes
21 L. Chipperfield
37 F. Sylla
22 A. Llukes

Coach: Didier Tholot

Luzern

4-3-1-2
1 S. Simoni G
20 P. Dorn D
5 S. Knezevic D
21 L. Luthi D
22 R. Dantas Fernandes D
24 T. Owusu M
6 L. Bertone M
10 L. Silva M
11 M. Di Giusto M
71 S. Meyer F
16 O. Kabwit F
Bench (9)
63 R. Radtke
14 A. Ciganiks
7 A. Oehlers
28 R. Dantas Fernandes
15 N. Toggenburger
27 L. Villiger
3 J. Lofgren
13 B. H. Freimann
80 M. Zimmermann

Coach: Jorg Portmann

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Lukas Fahndrich · 15 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.