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Super League
Referee: S Wolfensberger
Luzern
U T S U T
5–0
Full-time
Young Boys
S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Luzern Young Boys
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
3,7
1,8
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
1,8
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 44%
42%
45%
Points per game
1,5
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
65%
55%
Both score Ø 66%
74%
58%
Average goals
3,4
2,7
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
1,6
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

3,42 xG 1,08
42% Possession 58%
18 Shots 12
9 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 4
0 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 16
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Luzern 5. · Young Boys 3.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Basel 32 17 7 8 +35 +19.1 58
2 Servette 31 14 9 8 +8 +0.5 51
3 Young Boys 31 14 8 9 +11 +10.9 50
4 Lugano 32 14 7 11 +3 +9.1 49
5 Luzern 31 13 9 9 +6 +5.6 48
6 Zurich 32 13 8 11 -3 -2.8 47
7 Lausanne 32 12 8 12 +6 +10.0 44
8 St. Gallen 32 11 11 10 +2 -5.4 44
9 Sion 31 9 8 14 -9 +0.9 35
10 Grasshoppers 32 7 12 13 -10 -12.7 33
11 Yverdon 32 8 9 15 -19 -13.5 33
12 Winterthur 32 7 6 19 -30 -21.5 27

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Luzern Young Boys
7′
🔁 M. Camara
↦ L. Benito
19′
🟨 Rayan Raveloson
1–0 T. Klidje
P. Dorn
26′
K. Spadanuda 🔁
↦ T. Klidje
33′
2–0 S. Knezevic
40′
45′
🟨 Zachary Athekame
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 C. Itten
↦ A. Virginius
46′
🔁 Abdu Conté
↦ J. Hadjam
3–0 D. Rrudhani
L. Villiger
46′
60′
🔁 D. Males
↦ Ł. Łakomy
4–0 A. Stanković
65′
66′
🔁 K. Imeri
↦ C. Bedia
68′
🟥 Mohamed Camara
68′
ℹ️ Mohamed Camara
VAR: Card upgrade
5–0 K. Spadanuda
D. Rrudhani
70′
L. Winkler 🔁
↦ T. Owusu
76′
A. Cigaņiks 🔁
↦ R. Fernandes
76′
J. Kadák 🔁
↦ D. Rrudhani
81′
A. Grbic 🔁
↦ L. Villiger
81′
85′
🟨 Kastriot Imeri
Full-time 5–0

Line-ups

Luzern

4-3-1-2
1 P. Loretz G
20 P. Dorn D
5 S. Knezevic D
46 B. Freimann D
22 R. Fernandes D
18 N. Beloko M
8 A. Stanković M
24 T. Owusu M
11 D. Rrudhani M
17 T. Klidje F
27 L. Villiger F
Bench (9)
7 K. Spadanuda
29 L. Winkler
14 A. Cigaņiks
16 J. Kadák
9 A. Grbic
10 S. Karweina
90 V. Vasić
3 J. Löfgren
2 S. Ottiger

Coach: M. Frick

Young Boys

4-2-3-1
33 M. Keller G
24 Z. Athekame D
30 S. Lauper D
23 L. Benito D
3 J. Hadjam D
8 Ł. Łakomy M
45 R. Raveloson M
21 A. Virginius M
7 F. Ugrinic M
16 C. Fassnacht M
29 C. Bedia F
Bench (9)
13 M. Camara
9 C. Itten
22 Abdu Conté
39 D. Males
10 K. Imeri
26 D. von Ballmoos
4 T. Zoukrou
14 M. Chaiwa
27 L. Blum

Coach: G. Contini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Wolfensberger · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.