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Bundesliga
Referee: D Muckenhammer
Salzburg
S U S U T
2–1
Full-time
Hartberg
U S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Salzburg Hartberg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,0
This season — Bundesliga · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 53%
75%
31%
Points per game
2,4
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
50%
44%
Both score Ø 63%
56%
69%
Average goals
2,9
3,1
Scored
2,2
1,6
Conceded
0,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

72% Possession 28%
17 Shots 3
7 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 0
5 Offside 2
7 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Salzburg 1. · Hartberg 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 16 12 3 1 +24 39
2 Sturm Graz 16 8 3 5 +8 27
3 Wolfsberger AC 16 8 3 5 +0 27
4 A. Klagenfurt 16 5 7 4 +1 22
5 Ried 16 5 6 5 -10 21
6 Austria Vienna 16 4 8 4 +3 20
7 Hartberg 16 5 5 6 +1 20
8 SK Rapid 16 5 5 6 -1 20
9 Tirol 16 4 7 5 -4 19
10 Admira 16 3 6 7 -3 15
11 LASK 16 3 5 8 -5 14
12 Altach 16 3 4 9 -14 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.