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Bundesliga
Referee: S Ebner
Hartberg
S T T U U
0–1
Full-time
Salzburg
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hartberg Salzburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
17%
100%
Points per game
0,8
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
3,7
Scored
1,3
3,2
Conceded
1,8
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+2,7
This season — Bundesliga · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 60%
20%
100%
Points per game
1,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
40%
60%
Both score Ø 70%
80%
60%
Average goals
3,2
3,6
Scored
1,6
3,0
Conceded
1,6
0,6
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+2,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

38% Possession 62%
6 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 8
0 Offside 3
9 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hartberg 7. · Salzburg 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 5 5 0 0 +12 15
2 Sturm Graz 5 3 1 1 +5 10
3 SK Rapid 5 2 1 2 +3 7
4 Altach 5 2 1 2 -1 7
5 Ried 5 2 1 2 -7 7
6 LASK 5 1 3 1 -1 6
7 Hartberg 5 1 2 2 +0 5
8 Tirol 5 0 5 0 +0 5
9 Wolfsberger AC 5 1 2 2 -3 5
10 A. Klagenfurt 5 1 2 2 -5 5
11 Admira 5 1 1 3 -1 4
12 Austria Vienna 5 0 3 2 -2 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hartberg Salzburg
Mario Sonnleitner 🟨
31′
44′
N. Capaldo 0–1
C. Adamu
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 L. Sučić
↦ M. Kjærgaard
David Stec 🟨
63′
64′
🔁 M. Berisha
↦ K. Adeyemi
64′
🔁 B. Aaronson
↦ A. Bernède
64′
🔁 B. Šeško
↦ C. Adamu
P. Erhardt 🔁
↦ T. Kainz
67′
M. Schantl 🔁
↦ T. Kofler
67′
N. Niemann 🔁
↦ J. Heil
75′
M. Lema 🔁
↦ T. Rotter
75′
F. Luckeneder 🔁
↦ D. Stec
91′
91′
🔁 A. Ulmer
↦ N. Seiwald
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Hartberg

5-3-2
1 R. Swete G
16 M. Sonnleitner D
5 M. Gollner D
31 T. Rotter D
22 D. Stec D
27 T. Kofler D
23 T. Kainz M
29 S. Horvath F
28 J. Heil M
11 M. Horvat M
24 D. Tadić F
Bench (7)
6 P. Erhardt
8 M. Schantl
10 N. Niemann
7 M. Lema
32 F. Luckeneder
35 R. Sallinger
20 M. Schmerböck

Coach: K. Russ

Salzburg

4-3-1-2
18 P. Köhn G
95 Bernardo D
39 M. Wöber D
4 K. Piątkowski D
16 Z. Junuzović M
10 A. Bernède M
13 N. Seiwald M
27 K. Adeyemi F
7 N. Capaldo D
14 M. Kjærgaard M
9 C. Adamu F
Bench (7)
21 L. Sučić
8 M. Berisha
11 B. Aaronson
30 B. Šeško
17 A. Ulmer
22 O. Solet
1 N. Mantl

Coach: M. Jaissle

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Ebner · 100 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.