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Bundesliga
Referee: J Weinberger
Tirol
T T T T T
0–2
Full-time
Salzburg
T U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tirol Salzburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
2,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Bundesliga · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 38%
8%
67%
Points per game
0,4
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
50%
58%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,9
2,9
Scored
0,8
2,3
Conceded
2,1
0,7
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+1,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

41% Possession 59%
11 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 6
1 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Tirol 11. · Salzburg 2. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sturm Graz 12 8 3 1 +12 27
2 Salzburg 12 8 2 2 +19 26
3 LASK 12 6 4 2 +7 22
4 A. Klagenfurt 12 5 6 1 +6 21
5 Hartberg 12 5 4 3 +4 19
6 SK Rapid 12 3 6 3 +10 15
7 Austria Vienna 12 4 3 5 +0 15
8 Wolfsberger AC 12 3 5 4 -4 14
9 Altach 12 3 4 5 -6 13
10 BW Linz 12 3 4 5 -10 13
11 Tirol 12 1 2 9 -15 5
12 A. Lustenau 12 0 3 9 -23 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

6. Aug -23 Salzburg – Tirol 3–0 19. Feb -23 Tirol – Salzburg 1–3 3. Sep -22 Salzburg – Tirol 2–0 11. Dec -21 Salzburg – Tirol 5–0 11. Sep -21 Tirol – Salzburg 1–3

Match report

Tirol Salzburg
27′
⚽ K. Konaté 0–1
L. Sučić
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 S. Baidoo
↦ O. Solet
46′
🔁 N. Dorgeles
↦ O. Gloukh
48′
🟨 Karim Konaté
52′
🟨 Oumar Solet
55′
🟨 Lucas Gourna-Douath
A. Buksa 🔁
↦ J. Naschberger
63′
63′
🔁 M. Bidstrup
↦ A. Forson
63′
🔁 P. Ratkov
↦ R. Šimić
81′
🔁 A. Ulmer
↦ D. Guindo
S. Škrbo 🔁
↦ M. Diarra
82′
D. Tomic 🔁
↦ J. Ertlthaler
82′
Lukas Sulzbacher 🟨
85′
J. Forst 🔁
↦ C. Üstündag
89′
Lukas Sulzbacher 🟨
91′
Lukas Sulzbacher 🟥
91′
Felix Bacher 🟨
94′
94′
⚽ K. Konaté 0–2
N. Dorgeles
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Tirol

4-2-2-2
40 A. Stejskal G
6 L. Sulzbacher D
5 F. Bacher D
22 O. Okungbowa D
44 K. Schulz D
20 C. Üstündag M
17 J. Naschberger M
30 M. Taferner M
77 J. Ertlthaler M
8 M. Diarra F
9 N. Prelec F
Bench (7)
11 A. Buksa
23 S. Škrbo
18 D. Tomic
19 J. Forst
13 B. Ozegovic
26 D. Štumberger
3 D. Gugganig

Coach: T. Silberberger

Salzburg

4-3-1-2
24 A. Schlager G
7 N. Capaldo D
22 O. Solet D
31 S. Pavlović D
29 D. Guindo D
10 L. Sučić M
27 L. Gourna-Douath M
32 A. Forson M
30 O. Gloukh M
19 K. Konaté F
23 R. Šimić F
Bench (7)
6 S. Baidoo
45 N. Dorgeles
18 M. Bidstrup
21 P. Ratkov
17 A. Ulmer
1 N. Mantl
70 A. Dedić

Coach: G. Struber

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B ✓
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Weinberger · 114 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.