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Bundesliga
Referee: H Lechner
Hartberg
S T U U S
1–5
Full-time
Salzburg
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hartberg Salzburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,3
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,8
Scored
1,5
2,2
Conceded
2,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,5
This season — Bundesliga · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,7
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
67%
0%
Average goals
3,7
2,3
Scored
2,0
2,3
Conceded
1,7
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+2,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

49% Possession 51%
7 Shots 16
3 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 7
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 16
4 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hartberg 4. · Salzburg 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sturm Graz 4 3 1 0 +6 10
2 Salzburg 3 3 0 0 +7 9
3 A. Klagenfurt 4 1 3 0 +2 6
4 Hartberg 3 1 2 0 +1 5
5 Wolfsberger AC 3 1 2 0 +1 5
6 LASK 4 1 2 1 +0 5
7 SK Rapid 3 1 1 1 +3 4
8 Altach 4 1 1 2 -5 4
9 Austria Vienna 3 1 0 2 -3 3
10 A. Lustenau 4 0 2 2 -3 2
11 BW Linz 3 0 1 2 -3 1
12 Tirol 4 0 1 3 -6 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hartberg Salzburg
Mamadou Sangare 🟨
12′
16′
O. Gloukh 0–1
A. Dedić
Half-time 1–1
1–1 M. Entrup
J. Heil
46′
47′
K. Konaté 1–2
50′
A. Dedić 1–3
S. Pavlović
Maximilian Entrup 🟨
52′
D. Frieser 🔁
↦ R. Providence
53′
62′
🔁 D. Kameri
↦ A. Forson
63′
🔁 N. Dorgeles
↦ R. Šimić
64′
A. Dedić 1–4
L. Gourna-Douath
73′
🔁 S. Koïta
↦ O. Gloukh
73′
🔁 Fernando
↦ K. Konaté
Christoph Lang 🟨
75′
76′
S. Koïta 1–5
S. Pavlović
Ousmane Diakité 🟨
86′
M. Fillafer 🔁
↦ M. Entrup
87′
T. Kainz 🔁
↦ M. Sangaré
87′
87′
🔁 A. Ulmer
↦ M. Kjærgaard
C. Urdl 🔁
↦ C. Lang
91′
Full-time 1–5

Line-ups

Hartberg

4-1-4-1
1 R. Sallinger G
28 J. Heil D
14 P. Komposch D
5 I. Bowat D
20 M. Pfeifer D
32 O. Diakité M
27 D. Prokop M
26 C. Lang M
45 M. Sangaré M
70 R. Providence M
11 M. Entrup F
Bench (7)
33 D. Frieser
37 M. Fillafer
23 T. Kainz
8 C. Urdl
12 M. Steinwender
18 S. Schutti
21 H. Postl

Coach: M. Schopp

Salzburg

4-3-1-2
24 A. Schlager G
70 A. Dedić D
6 S. Baidoo D
31 S. Pavlović D
14 M. Kjærgaard D
18 M. Bidstrup M
27 L. Gourna-Douath M
32 A. Forson M
30 O. Gloukh M
19 K. Konaté F
23 R. Šimić F
Bench (7)
8 D. Kameri
45 N. Dorgeles
20 S. Koïta
11 Fernando
17 A. Ulmer
33 Douglas Mendes
1 N. Mantl

Coach: G. Struber

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

H Lechner · 116 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.