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Premiership
Referee: R Lee
Partick
S T T U S
1–1
Full-time
St Mirren
T T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Partick St Mirren
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,0
1,8
Scored
0,8
0,5
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premiership · 2/38 matches
Win Ø 36%
50%
21%
Points per game
2,0
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
50%
32%
Both score Ø 69%
100%
37%
Average goals
2,5
2,2
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
1,0
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Celtic 38 26 4 8 +32 +26.0 82
2 Hearts 38 24 8 6 +33 +12.7 80
3 Rangers 38 20 12 6 +33 +21.4 72
4 Motherwell 38 16 13 9 +23 +9.0 61
5 Hibernian 38 15 12 11 +14 +0.4 57
6 Falkirk 38 14 7 17 -12 +2.6 49
7 Dundee United 38 10 15 13 -11 -12.2 45
8 Dundee 38 11 9 18 -19 -13.9 42
9 Aberdeen 38 11 7 20 -15 -15.1 40
10 Kilmarnock 38 10 10 18 -18 -9.7 40
11 St Mirren 38 8 10 20 -25 -2.1 34
12 Livingston 38 2 15 21 -35 -19.0 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Partick St Mirren
39′
K. Phillips 0–1
M. Mandron
42′
🟨 Jacob Devaney
Half-time 0–1
T. Letsosa 🔁
↦ L. Chalmers
46′
C. Logan 🔁
↦ B. McPherson
59′
1–1 A. Fitzpatrick
T. Watt
62′
64′
🔁 L. Douglas
↦ M. O'Hara
70′
🔁 J. Richardson
↦ R. King
77′
🔁 R. Idowu
↦ K. Phillips
K. Turner 🔁
↦ L. McBeth
80′
Aidan Fitzpatrick 🟨
84′
G. Mackay-Steven 🔁
↦ A. Fitzpatrick
88′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Partick

12 J. Clarke G
24 B. McPherson D
5 L. Ashcroft D
22 C. Loughrey
3 P. Reading D
10 L. Chalmers M
14 R. Crawford M
19 L. McBeth D
21 A. Fitzpatrick M
32 T. Watt F
9 A. Samuel F
Bench (7)
1 L. Budinauckas
6 K. Turner
2 C. Logan
64 T. Letsosa
39 M. Falconer
11 G. Mackay-Steven
42 L. Dolan

St Mirren

3-1-4-2
27 R. Sinclair G
13 A. Gogic D
21 M. Freckleton D
22 M. Fraser D
6 M. O'Hara
5 R. King D
16 A. Campbell M
8 J. Devaney M
3 S. Tanser D
88 K. Phillips M
9 M. Mandron F
Bench (9)
35 G. Tamosevicius
10 C. McMenamin
2 J. Richardson
20 J. Young
7 R. Idowu
17 J. Calvin
32 L. Douglas
14 D. N'Lundulu
38 T. Falconer

Coach: Craig McLeish

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Lee · 22 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.