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Conference League
Referee: D Cerny
HJK Helsinki
S U U S S
1–1
Full-time
Motherwell
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

HJK Helsinki Motherwell
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,7
Scored
2,5
1,8
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
4,0
2,5
Scored
4,0
2,5
Conceded
0,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+4,0
+2,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%
5 Shots on target 2
0 Blocked shots 2
5 Corners 3
1 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

HJK Helsinki Motherwell
25′
🟨 Alex Lowry
Half-time 0–0
53′
🟨 Oscar Priestman
Miska Ylitolva 🟨
56′
Liam Möller 🟨
59′
64′
⚽ T. Maswanhise 0–1
K. Simojoki 🔁
↦ M. Ylitolva
66′
66′
🔁 O. Whyte
↦ L. Fadinger
66′
🔁 M. Booth
↦ W. Vogt
L. Lingman 🔁
↦ P. Mentu
70′
T. Pukki 🔁
↦ M. Borchers
70′
1–1 T. Pukki ⚽
K. Simojoki
71′
73′
🔁 J. Knight-Lebel
↦ A. Lowry
A. Cicale 🔁
↦ T. Mero
80′
L. Lappalainen 🔁
↦ S. Haarala
80′
80′
🔁 J. Koutroumbis
↦ R. Charles-Cook
80′
🔁 L. Ross
↦ E. Longelo
82′
🟨 Jake Girdwood-Reich
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

HJK Helsinki

4-2-3-1
44 M. Markovic G
28 M. Ylitolva D
6 V. Tikkanen D
3 T. Cissokho D
14 L. Montano D
22 L. Moller M
8 P. Mentu M
29 S. Haarala F
4 A. Ring M
18 T. Mero M
9 M. Borchers F
Bench (12)
1 J. Ost
12 M. Haapanen
5 A. Nallo
7 A. Cicale
10 L. Lingman
13 K. Simojoki
15 J. Kallinen
17 M. Kirilov
20 T. Pukki
24 E. Levealahti
26 L. Lappalainen
32 M. Gueye

Coach: Joonas Rantanen

Motherwell

4-2-3-1
1 A. Paulsen G
7 T. Sparrow M
5 M. Moormann D
3 J. Girdwood-Reich D
45 E. Longelo D
8 L. Fadinger M
12 O. Priestman M
77 W. Vogt F
11 A. Lowry M
17 R. Charles-Cook F
18 T. Maswanhise F
Bench (9)
21 Matty Connelly
31 J. McConnell
4 J. Knight-Lebel
22 J. Koutroumbis
23 E. Wilson
24 L. Ross
25 O. Whyte
27 M. Booth
29 Z. McAllister

Coach: Alfred Johansson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.