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Premiership
Referee: D Robertson
St Mirren
T S S S T
2–0
Full-time
Celtic
S S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Mirren Celtic
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 17%
17%
17%
Average goals
2,3
4,2
Scored
1,0
3,5
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+2,8
This season — Premiership · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
50%
100%
Points per game
1,5
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 17%
17%
17%
Average goals
2,3
4,3
Scored
1,0
4,2
Conceded
1,3
0,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+4,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

20% Possession 80%
4 Shots 19
2 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 8
4 Goalkeeper saves 0
6 Corners 7
1 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Mirren 8. · Celtic 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 6 6 0 0 +24 18
2 Rangers 7 5 1 1 +8 16
3 Livingston 7 4 0 3 -3 12
4 Hibernian 7 3 2 2 +2 11
5 Aberdeen 7 3 1 3 +4 10
6 Hearts 6 3 1 2 +2 10
7 Motherwell 6 3 1 2 +1 10
8 St Mirren 6 3 0 3 -2 9
9 ST Johnstone 7 2 1 4 -3 7
10 Ross County 7 1 2 4 -7 5
11 Kilmarnock 7 1 1 5 -9 4
12 Dundee United 7 0 2 5 -17 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Mirren Celtic
1–0 M. O'Hara
R. Strain
43′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Jota
↦ D. Maeda
46′
🔁 R. Hatate
↦ A. Mooy
2–0 J. Ayunga
53′
57′
🔁 S. Hakšabanović
↦ L. Abada
57′
🔁 G. Giakoumakis
↦ D. Turnbull
Declan Gallagher 🟨
64′
R. Tait 🔁
↦ S. Tanser
68′
A. Gogić 🔁
↦ R. Strain
72′
74′
🔁 M. O'Riley
↦ G. Taylor
Mark O'Hara 🟨
80′
G. Kiltie 🔁
↦ J. Ayunga
80′
84′
🟨 Anthony Ralston
Keanu Baccus 🟨
89′
94′
🟨 Sead Hakšabanović
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

St Mirren

5-3-2
1 T. Carson G
23 R. Strain D
22 M. Fraser D
31 D. Gallagher D
18 C. Dunne D
3 S. Tanser D
17 K. Baccus M
16 E. Erhahon M
6 M. O'Hara M
7 J. Ayunga F
10 C. Main F
Bench (9)
2 R. Tait
13 A. Gogić
11 G. Kiltie
9 E. Brophy
21 A. Greive
4 J. Shaughnessy
12 J. Henderson
27 P. Urminský
8 R. Flynn

Coach: S. Robinson

Celtic

4-3-3
1 J. Hart G
56 A. Ralston D
57 S. Welsh D
6 M. Jenz D
3 G. Taylor D
42 C. McGregor M
13 A. Mooy M
14 D. Turnbull M
11 L. Abada F
8 K. Furuhashi F
38 D. Maeda F
Bench (9)
17 Jota
41 R. Hatate
9 S. Hakšabanović
7 G. Giakoumakis
33 M. O'Riley
28 O. Abildgaard
49 J. Forrest
25 A. Bernabei
31 B. Siegrist

Coach: A. Postecoglou

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
15,12
U
6,95
B
1,18
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,47
U2,5 ✓
2,62
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Robertson · 152 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.