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Super League
Referee: A Tsakalidis
Olympiakos
S S U S S
1–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Olympiakos Asteras Tripolis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 92%
83%
100%
Points per game
2,7
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,2
1,8
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
0,5
0,3
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 57%
65%
48%
Points per game
2,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
52%
43%
Both score Ø 52%
52%
52%
Average goals
2,4
2,1
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
0,7
0,9
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

69% Possession 31%
24 Shots 4
5 Shots on target 2
8 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
12 Corners 0
13 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Olympiakos 1. · Asteras Tripolis 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 23 15 5 3 +22 50
2 AEK 22 14 4 4 +24 46
3 Panathinaikos 22 12 8 2 +10 44
4 PAOK 24 12 5 7 +17 41
5 Asteras Tripolis 23 11 5 7 +6 38
6 Aris Thessalonikis 21 10 4 7 +3 34
7 Aris 21 10 4 7 +3 34
8 OFI Crete 24 9 6 9 -3 33
9 Panetolikos 23 9 5 9 +0 32
10 Atromitos 23 8 5 10 -1 29
11 Volos NFC 23 7 3 13 -18 24
12 Panserraikos 23 6 4 13 -11 22
13 Levadeiakos 22 3 9 10 -11 18
14 Athens Kallithea 23 2 9 12 -16 15
15 Lamia 23 1 6 16 -25 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Olympiakos Asteras Tripolis
4′
N. Kaltsas 0–1
J. Bartolo
5′
ℹ️ Nikos Kaltsas
VAR: Goal confirmed
1–1 Chiquinho
A. El Kaabi
11′
19′
🟨 Federico Álvarez
24′
🟨 Julián Bartolo
25′
🔁 Xesc Regis
↦ J. Bartolo
35′
🟨 Federico Macheda
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 Pepe Castaño
↦ S. Deli
62′
🔁 T. Chatzigiovanis
↦ N. Kaltsas
K. Velde 🔁
↦ S. Hezze
63′
72′
🔁 N. Gioacchini
↦ F. Macheda
72′
🔁 D. Houhoumis
↦ F. Álvarez
L. Palma 🔁
↦ C. Kostoulas
75′
76′
🟨 Nicholas Gioacchini
Gelson Martins 🟨
77′
Kristoffer Velde 🟨
80′
R. Yaremchuk 🔁
↦ Gelson Martins
83′
Dani García 🔁
↦ Chiquinho
83′
Francisco Ortega 🟨
93′
95′
🟨 Nikolaos Papadopoulos
96′
🟨 Oluwatobiloba Alagbe
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Olympiakos

4-2-3-1
88 K. Tzolakis G
20 Costinha D
4 G. Biancone D
5 L. Pirola D
3 F. Ortega D
32 S. Hezze M
96 C. Mouzakitis M
10 Gelson Martins M
84 C. Kostoulas M
22 Chiquinho M
9 A. El Kaabi F
Bench (9)
11 K. Velde
50 L. Palma
17 R. Yaremchuk
14 Dani García
70 B. Onyemaechi
64 A. Papakanellos
1 A. Paschalakis
75 K. Tanoulis
21 André Horta

Coach: José Luis Mendilibar

Asteras Tripolis

4-1-4-1
1 N. Papadopoulos G
17 N. Alho D
13 K. Triantafyllopoulos D
15 S. Deli D
29 F. Álvarez D
69 O. Adefunyibomi M
20 N. Kaltsas M
5 E. Yablonskiy M
8 T. Tzandaris M
7 J. Bartolo M
41 F. Macheda F
Bench (9)
11 Xesc Regis
19 Pepe Castaño
21 T. Chatzigiovanis
9 N. Gioacchini
3 D. Houhoumis
2 Rubén García
31 E. Udom
33 F. Sgouris
16 P. Tsintotas

Coach: S. Pantelidis

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,28
U ✓
5,13
B
9,95
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,80
U2,5 ✓
1,98
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Tsakalidis · 43 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
30,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.