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Super League

Referee: A Evangelou

Larisa

T T U T U

1–1

Full-time

Asteras Tripolis

U U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Larisa Asteras Tripolis

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

2,8

2,7

Scored

1,0

1,7

Conceded

1,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 34/34 matches

Win Ø 17%

15%

18%

Points per game

0,8

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

38%

47%

Both score Ø 52%

56%

47%

Average goals

2,4

Scored

0,9

Conceded

1,5

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,6

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

0,80 xG 0,83

62% Possession 38%

17 Shots 9

4 Shots on target 3

9 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 4

0 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 14

3 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Larisa 15. · Asteras Tripolis 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AEK	31	21	8	2	+37	+12.3	71
2	PAOK	31	19	8	4	+36	+5.2	65
3	Olympiakos	31	19	8	4	+34	+13.4	65
4	Panathinaikos	31	15	10	6	+18	+6.5	55
5	Levadeiakos	32	13	10	9	+15	-5.5	49
6	OFI Crete	32	13	3	16	-8	-7.0	42
7	Atromitos	34	10	11	13	-1	-0.7	41
8	Kifisia	35	8	14	13	-10	+3.0	38
9	Aris Thessalonikis	29	8	13	8	-4	-1.2	37
10	Aris	29	8	13	8	-4	–	37
11	Panetolikos	34	9	7	18	-15	-6.4	34
12	Volos NFC	32	9	6	17	-19	-1.6	33
13	Panserraikos	35	7	9	19	-41	-6.9	30
14	Asteras Tripolis	34	6	11	17	-16	-3.4	29
15	Larisa	34	5	13	16	-22	-7.7	28

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PAOK	16	13	3	0	+28	+4.5	42
2	AEK	15	13	1	1	+24	+7.6	40
3	Olympiakos	15	10	3	2	+19	+4.9	33
4	Levadeiakos	17	9	5	3	+20	-0.6	32
5	Panathinaikos	16	9	5	2	+15	+1.8	32
6	OFI Crete	17	8	0	9	+4	-2.9	24
7	Volos NFC	15	5	6	4	-3	+4.3	21
8	Asteras Tripolis	17	5	5	7	+1	+0.7	20
9	Aris Thessalonikis	14	3	9	2	+0	+4.0	18
10	Aris	14	3	9	2	+0	–	18
11	Atromitos	17	4	6	7	-3	+1.0	18
12	Kifisia	17	4	6	7	-3	+2.9	18
13	Larisa	17	3	7	7	-10	-0.3	16
14	Panetolikos	17	4	2	11	-11	-0.5	14
15	Panserraikos	18	3	5	10	-21	-5.2	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Olympiakos	16	9	5	2	+15	+8.5	32
2	AEK	16	8	7	1	+13	+4.7	31
3	PAOK	15	6	5	4	+8	+0.6	23
4	Panathinaikos	15	6	5	4	+3	+4.7	23
5	Atromitos	17	6	5	6	+2	-1.7	23
6	Panetolikos	17	5	5	7	-4	-6.0	20
7	Kifisia	18	4	8	6	-7	+0.1	20
8	Aris Thessalonikis	15	5	4	6	-4	-5.2	19
9	Aris	15	5	4	6	-4	–	19
10	OFI Crete	15	5	3	7	-12	-4.2	18
11	Levadeiakos	15	4	5	6	-5	-4.9	17
12	Panserraikos	17	4	4	9	-20	-1.7	16
13	Larisa	17	2	6	9	-12	-7.4	12
14	Volos NFC	17	4	0	13	-16	-5.8	12
15	Asteras Tripolis	17	1	6	10	-17	-4.1	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.