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Europa League
Referee: Jesus Gil Manzano
Kauno Žalgiris
U S T T T
1–0
Full-time
Besiktas
S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kauno Žalgiris Besiktas
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,2
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 17%
33%
0%
Average goals
2,8
1,5
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
2,0
0,2
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 1/5 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
100%
20%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
3,0
1,6
Scored
0,0
1,6
Conceded
3,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-3,0
+1,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

29% Possession 71%
2 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 3
2 Corners 5
3 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

20. Aug -26 Besiktas – Kauno Žalgiris 3–0

Match report

Kauno Žalgiris Besiktas
Anthony Kalik 🟨
28′
Half-time 0–0
Renan Oliveira 🔁
↦ G. Debeljuh
46′
F. Baldassarra 🔁
↦ I. Fiolic
56′
L. Krekovic 🔁
↦ Leo Ribeiro
56′
1–0 Renan Oliveira ⚽
D. Mikelionis
64′
65′
🔁 M. Rashica
↦ V. Cerny
65′
🔁 Oh Hyeon-Gyu
↦ D. Vlahovic
65′
🔁 S. Kilicsoy
↦ J. Olaitan
A. Benchaib 🔁
↦ A. Kalik
69′
V. Slivka 🔁
↦ Y. Karashima
80′
85′
🟨 Kartal Kayra Yılmaz
86′
🔁 A. Hadziahmetovic
↦ I. Fakili
86′
🔁 A. S. Bircan
↦ K. Kayra Yilmaz
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Kauno Žalgiris

4-1-4-1
22 D. Mikelionis G
45 J. Moutachy D
77 R. Lekiatas D
23 A. Hernandez D
37 N. Iyobosa Edokpolor D
8 Y. Karashima M
70 F. Ourega M
17 I. Fiolic M
20 A. Kalik M
15 Leo Ribeiro M
27 G. Debeljuh F
Bench (10)
55 T. Svedkauskas
33 M. Konatar
62 L. I. Kastrati
14 V. Slivka
32 F. Baldassarra
10 G. Sirgedas
7 A. Benchaib
19 Renan Oliveira
9 L. Krekovic
24 M. Burba

Coach: Eivinas Cerniauskas

Besiktas

4-3-3
1 A. Nubel G
29 I. Fakili M
53 E. Topcu D
35 T. Djalo D
62 M. Murillo D
11 K. Ouattara D
6 S. Ozcan M
15 J. Olaitan M
18 V. Cerny M
28 D. Vlahovic F
8 K. Kayra Yilmaz M
Bench (12)
80 D. Alemdar
12 E. Agbadou
22 T. Bulut
58 Y. Ozcan
33 R. Yilmaz
4 W. Ndidi
5 A. Hadziahmetovic
10 O. Kokcu
7 M. Rashica
9 Oh Hyeon-Gyu
70 A. S. Bircan
90 S. Kilicsoy

Coach: Vincenzo Italiano

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Jesus Gil Manzano · 114 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.