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Süper Lig

Referee: V Bayarslan

Fenerbahce

S T S S U

2–1

Full-time

Besiktas

T T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fenerbahce Besiktas

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

83%

17%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

4,0

2,0

Scored

2,3

0,8

Conceded

1,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 33/33 matches

Win Ø 64%

82%

45%

Points per game

2,6

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

67%

42%

Both score Ø 52%

61%

42%

Average goals

3,5

2,5

Scored

2,6

1,3

Conceded

0,9

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,7

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,97 xG 0,67

66% Possession 34%

16 Shots 8

7 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

4 Corners 2

4 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 18

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Fenerbahce 2. · Besiktas 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	34	30	3	1	+59	+45.5	93
2	Fenerbahce	33	27	5	1	+57	+54.5	86
3	Trabzonspor	33	17	4	12	+13	+2.2	55
4	Besiktas	33	15	6	12	+6	+10.2	51
5	Buyuksehyr	33	14	7	12	+6	+1.0	49
6	Kasimpasa	34	14	7	13	-3	-8.4	49
7	Sivasspor	34	12	12	10	-4	-4.9	48
8	Rizespor	33	14	6	13	-6	-3.5	48
9	Antalyaspor	33	11	12	10	+0	-1.9	45
10	Alanyaspor	33	11	12	10	-3	+2.8	45
11	Ad. Demirspor	34	9	14	11	+2	-3.4	41
12	Kayserispor	33	10	10	13	-10	-8.5	40
13	Samsunspor	34	10	9	15	-7	+4.3	39
14	Ankaragücü	33	8	13	12	-3	-5.1	37
15	Konyaspor	34	8	12	14	-14	-10.5	36
16	Gaziantep	33	9	7	17	-13	-15.2	34
17	Karagumruk	33	8	9	16	-5	-15.1	33
18	Hatayspor	33	7	12	14	-9	-6.1	33
19	Pendikspor	33	7	9	17	-31	-13.6	30
20	İstanbulspor	33	4	7	22	-35	-24.2	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	17	17	0	0	+32	+30.6	51
2	Fenerbahce	16	12	3	1	+29	+30.7	39
3	Rizespor	17	11	3	3	+13	+6.4	36
4	Ad. Demirspor	17	9	4	4	+12	+6.3	31
5	Samsunspor	17	9	4	4	+9	+6.7	31
6	Buyuksehyr	17	9	3	5	+9	+2.2	30
7	Besiktas	17	9	3	5	+9	+6.8	30
8	Antalyaspor	17	7	8	2	+4	+0.5	29
9	Trabzonspor	16	9	1	6	+6	+5.3	28
10	Sivasspor	17	6	8	3	+4	+3.6	26
11	Ankaragücü	17	6	7	4	+3	+2.0	25
12	Kasimpasa	17	7	4	6	-2	-4.7	25
13	Karagumruk	16	6	6	4	+11	-2.2	24
14	Kayserispor	17	6	6	5	+2	+2.3	24
15	Alanyaspor	16	6	6	4	+0	+2.9	24
16	Hatayspor	16	5	7	4	+2	-2.8	22
17	Gaziantep	17	5	5	7	-5	-8.2	20
18	Konyaspor	16	5	4	7	-1	+1.4	19
19	Pendikspor	16	5	3	8	-10	-6.5	18
20	İstanbulspor	17	2	3	12	-22	-15.8	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	17	15	2	0	+28	+23.9	47
2	Galatasaray	17	13	3	1	+27	+14.9	42
3	Trabzonspor	17	8	3	6	+7	-3.1	27
4	Kasimpasa	17	7	3	7	-1	-3.7	24
5	Sivasspor	17	6	4	7	-8	-8.5	22
6	Besiktas	16	6	3	7	-3	+3.5	21
7	Alanyaspor	17	5	6	6	-3	-0.1	21
8	Buyuksehyr	16	5	4	7	-3	-1.2	19
9	Konyaspor	18	3	8	7	-13	-11.8	17
10	Antalyaspor	16	4	4	8	-4	-2.4	16
11	Kayserispor	16	4	4	8	-12	-10.8	16
12	Gaziantep	16	4	2	10	-8	-7.0	14
13	Ankaragücü	16	2	6	8	-6	-7.2	12
14	Rizespor	16	3	3	10	-19	-9.9	12
15	Pendikspor	17	2	6	9	-21	-7.1	12
16	Hatayspor	17	2	5	10	-11	-3.3	11
17	Ad. Demirspor	17	0	10	7	-10	-9.6	10
18	İstanbulspor	16	2	4	10	-13	-8.4	10
19	Karagumruk	17	2	3	12	-16	-12.9	9
20	Samsunspor	17	1	5	11	-16	-2.4	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.