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Süper Lig
Referee: M Türkmen
Besiktas
S U T T U
1–0
Full-time
Fenerbahce
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Besiktas Fenerbahce
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
0,8
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,2
4,7
Scored
1,2
3,2
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 62%
46%
77%
Points per game
1,7
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
46%
69%
Both score Ø 54%
62%
46%
Average goals
2,8
3,7
Scored
1,7
2,8
Conceded
1,2
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,98 xG 1,00
49% Possession 51%
12 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
1 Corners 3
3 Offside 4
12 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Besiktas 6. · Fenerbahce 2.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Galatasaray 13 11 2 0 +22 +14.2 35
2 Fenerbahce 13 10 2 1 +24 +17.1 32
3 Samsunspor 14 9 2 3 +15 +8.8 29
4 Goztep 14 7 3 4 +7 +4.5 24
5 Eyüpspor 14 6 5 3 +6 -2.6 23
6 Besiktas 13 6 4 3 +7 +6.8 22
7 Buyuksehyr 13 5 4 4 +3 +2.2 19
8 Konyaspor 15 5 4 6 -5 -3.4 19
9 Rizespor 13 6 1 6 -5 +0.8 19
10 Sivasspor 14 5 3 6 -4 -10.3 18
11 Antalyaspor 14 5 3 6 -8 -8.8 18
12 Trabzonspor 14 3 7 4 +2 +0.4 16
13 Kasimpasa 14 3 7 4 -3 +0.1 16
14 Gaziantep 13 4 3 6 -2 -2.8 15
15 Alanyaspor 13 3 5 5 -4 +1.0 14
16 Kayserispor 13 2 6 5 -12 -7.9 12
17 Bodrumspor 14 3 2 9 -11 -6.9 11
18 Hatayspor 13 1 5 7 -8 -5.3 8
19 Ad. Demirspor 14 0 2 12 -24 -7.9 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Besiktas Fenerbahce
Gedson Fernandes 🟨
32′
Half-time 0–0
67′
🔁 Y. En-Nesyri
↦ E. Džeko
67′
🔁 S. Szymański
↦ A. Saint-Maximin
A. Oxlade-Chamberlain 🔁
↦ S. Uçan
70′
B. Zaynutdinov 🔁
↦ T. Sanuç
70′
1–0 A. Oxlade-Chamberlain
A. Masuaku
73′
S. Kılıçsoy 🔁
↦ C. Immobile
78′
C. Ndour 🔁
↦ M. Rashica
78′
82′
🔁 İ. Kahveci
↦ F. Kostić
82′
🔁 C. Tosun
↦ Fred
82′
🔁 B. Osayi-Samuel
↦ M. Müldür
89′
🟨 Alexander Djiku
E. Muçi 🔁
↦ Rafa
92′
Gedson Fernandes 🟨
96′
Gedson Fernandes 🟥
96′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Besiktas

4-2-3-1
34 M. Günok G
2 J. Svensson D
5 T. Sanuç D
53 E. Topçu D
26 A. Masuaku D
8 S. Uçan M
6 Al Musrati M
7 M. Rashica M
83 Gedson Fernandes M
27 Rafa M
17 C. Immobile F
Bench (10)
15 A. Oxlade-Chamberlain
22 B. Zaynutdinov
9 S. Kılıçsoy
73 C. Ndour
23 E. Muçi
30 E. Destanoğlu
91 M. Hekimoğlu
18 João Mário
4 O. Bulut
79 E. Terzi

Coach: S. Topraktepe

Fenerbahce

4-2-3-1
40 D. Livaković G
16 M. Müldür D
3 S. Akaydin D
6 A. Djiku D
18 F. Kostić D
13 Fred M
34 S. Amrabat M
70 O. Aydın M
10 D. Tadić M
97 A. Saint-Maximin M
9 E. Džeko F
Bench (10)
19 Y. En-Nesyri
53 S. Szymański
17 İ. Kahveci
23 C. Tosun
21 B. Osayi-Samuel
22 L. Mercan
5 İ. Yüksek
20 C. Ünder
50 Rodrigo Becão
1 İ. Eğribayat

Coach: José Mourinho

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,62
U
3,77
B
1,92
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,64
U2,5 ✓
2,22
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Türkmen · 39 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.