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Süper Lig
Referee: Cagdas Altay
Besiktas
S S S T T
6–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Besiktas Corum
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/2 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
1,3
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
0,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
1,0
2,5
Scored
0,5
1,0
Conceded
0,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

2,97 xG 0,67
52% Possession 48%
18 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
8 Corners 6
5 Offside 4
9 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Besiktas 13. · Corum 15.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Galatasaray 3 2 1 0 +5 +7.1 7
2 Genclerbirligi 3 2 1 0 +2 -2.2 7
3 Fenerbahce 3 2 0 1 +3 +3.0 6
4 Kocaelispor 3 2 0 1 +1 -0.9 6
5 Rizespor 3 2 0 1 +0 +2.8 6
6 Kasimpasa 3 1 2 0 +1 +1.1 5
7 Buyuksehyr 3 1 1 1 +1 +0.3 4
8 Trabzonspor 2 1 1 0 +1 -0.7 4
9 Samsunspor 3 1 1 1 +0 -1.5 4
10 Alanyaspor 3 1 1 1 +0 -1.0 4
11 Gaziantep 3 1 1 1 +0 +0.3 4
12 Amedspor 2 1 0 1 +1 +0.6 3
13 Besiktas 2 1 0 1 +0 +1.4 3
14 Eyüpspor 3 1 0 2 -1 -1.0 3
15 Corum 2 0 1 1 -1 -1.5 1
16 Goztep 3 0 1 2 -2 -3.0 1
17 Erzurumspor 3 0 1 2 -7 -3.8 1
18 Konyaspor 3 0 0 3 -4 -1.0 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Besiktas Corum
1–0 Václav Černý
Emmanuel Agbadou
9′
Orkun Kökçü 🟨
15′
15′
🟨 Ylber Ramadani
30′
🟨 Gökhan Sazdağı
Junior Olaitan ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
40′
2–0 Dušan Vlahović
43′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 Ermin Mahmić
↦ Ylber Ramadani
46′
🔁 Cengiz Ünder
↦ Serdar Gürler
52′
Mohammed Diomande 2–1
Andrei Borza
3–1 Dušan Vlahović
59′
60′
🔁 Mame Thiam
↦ Emircan Gürlük
63′
🟨 Jesús Ramírez
4–1 Dušan Vlahović
66′
Dušan Vlahović 🟨
67′
İlhan Fakılı 🔁
↦ Václav Černý
71′
Hyeon-gyu Oh 🔁
↦ Dušan Vlahović
71′
Wilfred Ndidi 🔁
↦ Orkun Kökçü
71′
71′
🔁 Markus Karlsbakk
↦ Jesús Ramírez
71′
🔁 Fredy
↦ Berat Özdemir
5–1 İlhan Fakılı
Junior Olaitan
73′
77′
Ermin Mahmić 5–2
Cengiz Ünder
Fabio Miretti 🔁
↦ Junior Olaitan
77′
6–2 Amir Murillo
İlhan Fakılı
83′
Ernest Poku 🔁
↦ Leandro Trossard
84′
Ernest Poku ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
88′
Full-time 6–2

Line-ups

Besiktas

4-1-4-1
1 Alexander Nübel G
62 Amir Murillo D
12 Emmanuel Agbadou D
35 Tiago Djaló D
33 Rıdvan Yılmaz D
6 Salih Özcan M
18 Václav Černý M
15 Junior Olaitan M
10 Orkun Kökçü M
19 Leandro Trossard M
28 Dušan Vlahović F
Bench (10)
29 İlhan Fakılı
4 Wilfred Ndidi
9 Hyeon-gyu Oh
21 Fabio Miretti
17 Ernest Poku
80 Doğan Alemdar
11 Kassoum Ouattara
22 Taylan Bulut
53 Emirhan Topçu
8 Kartal Kayra Yılmaz

Coach: Vincenzo Italiano

Corum

4-2-3-1
1 Marcos Felipe G
11 Gökhan Sazdağı D
5 Alexandre Penetra D
6 Hrvoje Smolčić D
24 Andrei Borza D
3 Berat Özdemir M
20 Ylber Ramadani M
7 Serdar Gürler M
10 Mohammed Diomande M
17 Emircan Gürlük M
19 Jesús Ramírez F
Bench (10)
26 Ermin Mahmić
23 Cengiz Ünder
9 Mame Thiam
8 Markus Karlsbakk
16 Fredy
18 Erhan Erentürk
15 Arda Şengül
22 Huseyin Bulut
21 Göktan Gürpüz
30 Ahmed Ildız

Coach: Tamer Sivrikaya

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,43
U
4,28
B
6,59
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,79
U2,5
1,93
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.