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Süper Lig

Referee: K Sağlam

Ad. Demirspor

T S S S T

1–0

Full-time

Ümraniyespor

U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ad. Demirspor Ümraniyespor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/3 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,5

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

100%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

4,8

2,7

Scored

3,0

1,0

Conceded

1,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-0,7

This season — Süper Lig · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,0

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

100%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

4,7

2,7

Scored

2,7

1,0

Conceded

2,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%

15 Shots 15

4 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 1

3 Offside 4

9 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ad. Demirspor 5. · Ümraniyespor 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Gaziantep	4	3	1	0	+5	10
2	Fenerbahce	3	2	1	0	+8	7
3	Buyuksehyr	3	2	1	0	+6	7
4	Besiktas	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	Ad. Demirspor	3	2	0	1	+2	6
6	Giresunspor	3	2	0	1	+1	6
7	Galatasaray	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	Antalyaspor	4	2	0	2	+0	6
9	Trabzonspor	3	2	0	1	+0	6
10	Konyaspor	3	1	2	0	+4	5
11	Alanyaspor	4	1	2	1	+1	5
12	Karagumruk	3	1	0	2	-2	3
13	Kayserispor	3	1	0	2	-2	3
14	İstanbulspor	4	1	0	3	-6	3
15	Sivasspor	3	0	2	1	-3	2
16	Ümraniyespor	3	0	1	2	-2	1
17	Ankaragücü	3	0	1	2	-4	1
18	Hatayspor	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Kasimpasa	3	0	0	3	-11	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Buyuksehyr	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Gaziantep	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Besiktas	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Fenerbahce	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Ad. Demirspor	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Antalyaspor	2	1	0	1	+2	3
7	Karagumruk	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Kayserispor	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Trabzonspor	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Giresunspor	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Sivasspor	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Konyaspor	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Ankaragücü	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Alanyaspor	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Hatayspor	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Galatasaray	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Ümraniyespor	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	İstanbulspor	2	0	0	2	-6	0
19	Kasimpasa	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Galatasaray	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Konyaspor	2	1	1	0	+4	4
3	Alanyaspor	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Gaziantep	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Fenerbahce	1	1	0	0	+6	3
6	Giresunspor	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	İstanbulspor	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Ad. Demirspor	2	1	0	1	-1	3
9	Trabzonspor	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Antalyaspor	2	1	0	1	-2	3
11	Besiktas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Ümraniyespor	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Buyuksehyr	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Hatayspor	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Karagumruk	1	0	0	1	-3	0
16	Kayserispor	2	0	0	2	-3	0
17	Sivasspor	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Ankaragücü	2	0	0	2	-4	0
19	Kasimpasa	2	0	0	2	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.