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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: E Wisted-Thu
Sogndal
T T S S U
2–3
Full-time
Stromsgodset
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sogndal Stromsgodset
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
4,3
3,3
Scored
2,8
2,5
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+1,7
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 45%
32%
58%
Points per game
1,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 74%
79%
68%
Both score Ø 63%
63%
63%
Average goals
4,2
4,1
Scored
1,8
2,6
Conceded
2,4
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Sogndal 11. · Stromsgodset 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Stabaek 19 13 3 3 +31 42
2 Kongsvinger 19 13 3 3 +21 42
3 Haugesund 19 13 1 5 +24 40
4 Stromsgodset 19 11 5 3 +23 38
5 hodd 19 9 3 7 -2 30
6 Odd 19 8 5 6 +6 29
7 Bryne 19 9 2 8 -1 29
8 Egersund 19 8 2 9 -4 26
9 Ranheim 19 7 2 10 -3 23
10 Lyn 19 7 2 10 -8 23
11 Sogndal 19 6 4 9 -11 22
12 Sandnes ULF 19 6 2 11 -9 20
13 Moss 19 5 4 10 -12 19
14 Strommen 19 5 3 11 -18 18
15 Asane 19 5 2 12 -14 17
16 Raufoss 19 5 1 13 -23 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sogndal Stromsgodset
7′
E. Melkersen 0–1
H. Stengel
1–1 K. Skaanes
L. Vapne
18′
23′
E. Melkersen 1–2
G. Wikheim
L. Gausdal 🟨
45′
Half-time 1–2
56′
🟨 S. Pingel
O. Helen 🔁
↦ L. Gausdal
57′
63′
🔁 O. Enersen
↦ A. Heredia-Randen
T. Pippola 🟨
65′
69′
🔁 B. Sormo
↦ J. Taaje
69′
🔁 M. Mehnert
↦ G. Wikheim
2–2 K. Arierhi
A. Barkarson
77′
T. Pippola 🟨
80′
T. Pippola 🟥
80′
R. Onyango 🟥
85′
E. L. Hillestad 🔁
↦ K. Arierhi
86′
90′
E. Melkersen 2–3
L. Vilsvik
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Sogndal

1 L. Jendal
4 E. Hovland
14 J. Haruna
32 M. Oren
88 R. Onyango
8 L. Gausdal
16 L. Vapne
23 A. Barkarson
19 T. Pippola
9 K. Arierhi
10 K. Skaanes
Bench (7)
38 A. Sundal
31 D. Kongelf
35 E. L. Hillestad
36 M. Aroy
39 E. Flo
15 O. Helen
30 S. Stavo

Coach: Eirik Bakke

Stromsgodset

1 M. Lamhauge
26 L. Vilsvik
25 J. Taaje
71 G. Valsvik
22 K. Antonsen
8 K. Krasniqi
15 A. Heredia-Randen
9 E. Melkersen
10 H. Stengel
80 G. Wikheim
11 S. Pingel
Bench (7)
12 S. Lampinen-Skaug
5 B. Sormo
38 J. Sorum
23 E. Ingebrethsen
14 O. Enersen
47 S. Andresen
77 M. Mehnert

Coach: Magne Hoseth

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.