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Eliteserien
Referee: Espen Eskas
Stromsgodset
U U T S T
2–1
Full-time
Sogndal
T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stromsgodset Sogndal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/4 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
2,7
1,0
Scored
1,3
0,5
Conceded
1,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
This season — Eliteserien · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 38%
25%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 13%
25%
0%
Both score Ø 13%
25%
0%
Average goals
2,3
1,0
Scored
1,0
0,5
Conceded
1,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

66% Possession 34%
19 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 7
2 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Stromsgodset 11. · Sogndal 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 4 3 0 1 +3 9
2 Molde 4 2 2 0 +3 8
3 Odd 4 2 2 0 +3 8
4 Brann 4 2 2 0 +2 8
5 Bodo/Glimt 4 2 1 1 +3 7
6 Haugesund 5 2 1 2 +1 7
7 Viking 4 2 1 1 +1 7
8 Sogndal 4 2 1 1 +0 7
9 Lillestrom 5 1 3 1 +2 6
10 Tromso 4 1 3 0 +2 6
11 Stromsgodset 4 1 1 2 -1 4
12 Start 4 0 3 1 -1 3
13 Stabaek 4 1 0 3 -3 3
14 Aalesund 4 1 0 3 -4 3
15 Sarpsborg 08 4 0 2 2 -5 2
16 Valerenga 4 0 0 4 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stromsgodset Sogndal
Mounir Hamoud 🟨
23′
36′
🟨 Babacar Sarr
Half-time 0–1
47′
B. Utvik 0–1
G. Koomson
60′
🟨 Babacar Sarr
60′
🟥 Babacar Sarr
Marcus Pedersen 🔁
↦ T. Høiland
61′
L. Vilsvik 🔁
↦ J. Parr
61′
62′
🔁 S. Brekkhus
↦ M. Otoo
1–1 Marcus Pedersen
M. Hamoud
63′
67′
🟨 Christophe Psyche
2–1 Marcus Pedersen
L. Vilsvik
70′
76′
🔁 K. Opseth
↦ M. Ramsland
P. Moen 🔁
↦ M. Keita
83′
88′
🔁 F. Flo
↦ G. Koomson
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Stromsgodset

1 E. Pettersen G
4 K. Madsen D
3 J. Parr D
2 M. Hamoud M
71 G. Valsvik D
9 Ø. Storflor F
77 M. Keita M
20 M. Abu M
93 T. Nguen M
22 B. Adjei-Boateng M
7 T. Høiland F
Bench (7)
10 Marcus Pedersen
26 L. Vilsvik
8 P. Moen
11 M. Rønning
19 Francisco Junior
28 M. Høibråten
30 Ł. Jarosiński

Sogndal

1 M. Dyngeland G
15 J. Raitala D
2 T. Teniste D
17 C. Psyché D
3 B. Utvik D
7 R. Bolseth M
16 B. Sarr D
19 O. Sveen M
10 G. Koomson F
18 M. Otoo F
11 M. Ramsland F
Bench (7)
34 S. Brekkhus
20 K. Opseth
8 F. Flo
21 K. Rutlin
22 L. Kjemhus
25 R. Holsæter
27 E. Birkelund

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Espen Eskas · 120 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.