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Eliteserien

Referee: Ola Hobber Nilsen

Stromsgodset

S S S S S

4–1

Full-time

Sogndal

T S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stromsgodset Sogndal

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

83%

17%

Points per game

2,5

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,0

2,7

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

0,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,3

This season — Eliteserien · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 35%

42%

27%

Points per game

1,6

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

35%

58%

Both score Ø 52%

54%

50%

Average goals

2,4

2,7

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

70% Possession 30%

27 Shots 8

8 Shots on target 3

8 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 0

1 Offside 0

12 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Stromsgodset 5. · Sogndal 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	26	17	6	3	+37	57
2	Molde	26	14	5	7	+14	47
3	Sarpsborg 08	26	11	11	4	+9	44
4	Brann	27	12	7	8	+14	43
5	Stromsgodset	26	11	8	7	+3	41
6	Haugesund	27	11	6	10	+1	39
7	Odd	26	11	5	10	-6	38
8	Valerenga	26	10	6	10	+6	36
9	Stabaek	26	9	7	10	-7	34
10	Sandefjord	26	10	3	13	-7	33
11	Lillestrom	26	8	7	11	-6	31
12	Kristiansund	26	7	9	10	-5	30
13	Sogndal	26	7	7	12	-8	28
14	Tromso	26	7	7	12	-14	28
15	Aalesund	26	6	8	12	-9	26
16	Viking	26	4	6	16	-22	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Odd	13	9	2	2	+8	29
2	Molde	13	9	1	3	+13	28
3	Rosenborg	13	8	3	2	+18	27
4	Stromsgodset	13	8	3	2	+10	27
5	Sarpsborg 08	13	7	5	1	+13	26
6	Valerenga	13	7	4	2	+13	25
7	Brann	13	7	3	3	+13	24
8	Sandefjord	13	7	2	4	+7	23
9	Haugesund	13	6	5	2	+6	23
10	Kristiansund	13	5	6	2	+5	21
11	Lillestrom	13	6	2	5	+0	20
12	Stabaek	14	6	2	6	-1	20
13	Sogndal	13	5	4	4	+5	19
14	Tromso	13	4	5	4	+1	17
15	Aalesund	13	4	4	5	+2	16
16	Viking	13	2	3	8	-11	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	13	9	3	1	+19	30
2	Molde	13	5	4	4	+1	19
3	Brann	14	5	4	5	+1	19
4	Sarpsborg 08	13	4	6	3	-4	18
5	Haugesund	14	5	1	8	-5	16
6	Stabaek	12	3	5	4	-6	14
7	Stromsgodset	13	3	5	5	-7	14
8	Lillestrom	13	2	5	6	-6	11
9	Valerenga	13	3	2	8	-7	11
10	Tromso	13	3	2	8	-15	11
11	Aalesund	13	2	4	7	-11	10
12	Sandefjord	13	3	1	9	-14	10
13	Kristiansund	13	2	3	8	-10	9
14	Viking	13	2	3	8	-11	9
15	Sogndal	13	2	3	8	-13	9
16	Odd	13	2	3	8	-14	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.