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Puchar Polski

Referee: T Kwiatkowski

Lech Poznan

S S S S S

0–1

Full-time

Gornik Zabrze

S T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lech Poznan Gornik Zabrze

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

100%

17%

Points per game

3,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,8

3,0

Scored

2,2

1,0

Conceded

0,7

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Puchar Polski · 2/3 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,5

3,3

Scored

2,0

2,7

Conceded

0,5

0,7

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Lech Poznan 10. · Gornik Zabrze 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Chojniczanka Chojnice	5	3	2	0	+6	11
2	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	4	3	1	0	+8	10
3	GKS Katowice	4	3	1	0	+5	10
4	Polonia Bytom	4	3	0	1	+12	9
5	Avia Świdnik	3	3	0	0	+7	9
6	Gornik Zabrze	3	3	0	0	+6	9
7	Widzew Lodz	4	2	2	0	+2	8
8	Korona Kielce	3	2	1	0	+4	7
9	Rakow	2	2	0	0	+4	6
10	Lech Poznan	2	2	0	0	+3	6
11	Hutnik Kraków	3	2	0	1	+3	6
12	Lechia Gdansk	3	2	0	1	+1	6
13	Slask Wroclaw	3	2	0	1	+1	6
14	Piast Gliwice	3	2	0	1	+1	6
15	Wisla	3	2	0	1	-1	6
16	Jastrzębie	2	1	1	0	+2	4
17	Olimpia Grudziądz	3	1	1	1	+1	4
18	Świt Skolwin	3	1	1	1	+0	4
19	LKS Lodz	2	1	0	1	+1	3
20	Cracovia	2	1	0	1	+1	3
21	Legnica	2	1	0	1	+1	3
22	Zaglebie	2	1	0	1	+1	3
23	Stal Stalowa Wola	2	1	0	1	+0	3
24	Podbeskidzie	2	1	0	1	+0	3
25	Arka Gdynia	2	1	0	1	+0	3
26	Pogon Szczecin	2	1	0	1	+0	3
27	Odra Opole	2	1	0	1	+0	3
28	Gryf Słupsk	2	1	0	1	+0	3
29	Warta Poznan	2	1	0	1	+0	3
30	Jagiellonia	2	1	0	1	-1	3
31	Puszcza	2	1	0	1	-1	3
32	Znicz Pruszków	2	1	0	1	-2	3
33	Wikielec	2	1	0	1	-2	3
34	Goczałkowice Zdrój B	2	1	0	1	-5	3
35	Nieciecza	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	ŁKS Łódź II	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	Wieczysta Krakow	1	0	1	0	+0	1
38	Flota Świnoujście	2	0	1	1	-3	1
39	Legia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Stal Mielec	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Resovia Rzeszów	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Rekord Bielsko-Biała	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Małapanew	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Lechia T. Mazowiecki	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Motor Lublin	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Olimpia Elbląg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Stal Rzeszów	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Polonia Warszawa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Korona Kielce II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Odra Bytom Odrzański	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Chrobry Głogów	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	Wisla Plock	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	SKRA Częstochowa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	Polonia Środa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Miedź Legnica II	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Ruch Chorzow	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Radomiak Radom	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Pogoń Siedlce	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Kalisz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Tychy 71	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Łomża	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	1	0	0	1	-3	0
65	Legia Warszawa II	1	0	0	1	-3	0
66	Beskid	1	0	0	1	-3	0
67	Górnik Łęczna	1	0	0	1	-4	0
68	Zagłębie Lubin II	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	4	3	1	0	+8	10
2	Avia Świdnik	3	3	0	0	+7	9
3	GKS Katowice	3	2	1	0	+4	7
4	Chojniczanka Chojnice	3	2	1	0	+3	7
5	Polonia Bytom	1	1	0	0	+6	3
6	Rakow	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Hutnik Kraków	2	1	0	1	+2	3
8	Stal Stalowa Wola	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	LKS Lodz	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Legnica	2	1	0	1	+1	3
11	Podbeskidzie	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Wikielec	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Widzew Lodz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Arka Gdynia	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Gryf Słupsk	2	1	0	1	+0	3
16	Warta Poznan	2	1	0	1	+0	3
17	Goczałkowice Zdrój B	2	1	0	1	-5	3
18	Nieciecza	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Świt Skolwin	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Flota Świnoujście	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Wieczysta Krakow	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Slask Wroclaw	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Legia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Stal Mielec	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Małapanew	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Lechia T. Mazowiecki	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Pogon Szczecin	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Stal Rzeszów	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Olimpia Grudziądz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Korona Kielce II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Odra Bytom Odrzański	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Lechia Gdansk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	Puszcza	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	Polonia Środa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	Miedź Legnica II	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	Piast Gliwice	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	Radomiak Radom	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	Kalisz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
41	Odra Opole	1	0	0	1	-2	0
42	Łomża	1	0	0	1	-2	0
43	Znicz Pruszków	1	0	0	1	-3	0
44	Legia Warszawa II	1	0	0	1	-3	0
45	Beskid	1	0	0	1	-3	0
46	Górnik Łęczna	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Gornik Zabrze	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Korona Kielce	3	2	1	0	+4	7
3	Polonia Bytom	3	2	0	1	+6	6
4	Lech Poznan	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Lechia Gdansk	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	Piast Gliwice	2	2	0	0	+3	6
7	Slask Wroclaw	2	2	0	0	+2	6
8	Wisla	3	2	0	1	-1	6
9	Widzew Lodz	3	1	2	0	+1	5
10	Chojniczanka Chojnice	2	1	1	0	+3	4
11	Olimpia Grudziądz	2	1	1	0	+2	4
12	Jastrzębie	2	1	1	0	+2	4
13	Odra Opole	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Cracovia	2	1	0	1	+1	3
15	GKS Katowice	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Rakow	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Pogon Szczecin	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Puszcza	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Zaglebie	2	1	0	1	+1	3
20	Znicz Pruszków	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Hutnik Kraków	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Świt Skolwin	2	1	0	1	+0	3
23	Jagiellonia	2	1	0	1	-1	3
24	ŁKS Łódź II	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Resovia Rzeszów	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Rekord Bielsko-Biała	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Podbeskidzie	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Motor Lublin	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Olimpia Elbląg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Polonia Warszawa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Chrobry Głogów	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	Wisla Plock	1	0	0	1	-2	0
33	SKRA Częstochowa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
34	Ruch Chorzow	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	Stal Stalowa Wola	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	Pogoń Siedlce	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	Tychy 71	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	1	0	0	1	-3	0
39	Wikielec	1	0	0	1	-3	0
40	Flota Świnoujście	1	0	0	1	-3	0
41	Zagłębie Lubin II	1	0	0	1	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.