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Ekstraklasa
Referee: D Sylwestrzak
Lech Poznan
U T T U T
2–0
Full-time
Gornik Zabrze
S T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lech Poznan Gornik Zabrze
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,02 xG 0,43
49% Possession 51%
17 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 2
1 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Lech Poznan Gornik Zabrze
Mikael Ishak ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
30′
1–0 M. Ishak
32′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 N. Zielonka
↦ P. Olkowski
46′
🔁 L. Zahović
↦ A. Buksa
46′
🔁 Filipe Nascimento
↦ P. Hellebrand
47′
🟨 Rafał Janicki
50′
🟨 Manu Sanchez
D. Hotić 🔁
↦ A. Ba Loua
63′
A. Gholizadeh 🔁
↦ Afonso Sousa
63′
68′
🔁 L. Ambros
↦ S. Kozuki
R. Murawski 🔁
↦ A. Kozubal
73′
83′
🔁 N. Wojtuszek
↦ Ł. Podolski
Ali Gholizadeh 🟨
85′
B. Fiabema 🔁
↦ M. Ishak
86′
2–0 D. Hotić
Joel Pereira
94′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Lech Poznan

4-2-3-1
41 B. Mrozek G
2 Joel Pereira D
3 A. Douglas D
16 A. Milić D
5 E. Andersson D
6 J. Karlström M
43 A. Kozubal M
50 A. Ba Loua M
7 Afonso Sousa M
11 K. Velde M
9 M. Ishak F
Bench (9)
21 D. Hotić
8 A. Gholizadeh
22 R. Murawski
19 B. Fiabema
90 W. Mońka
55 M. Pingot
35 F. Bednarek
44 T. Gmur
30 I. Brzyski

Coach: N. Frederiksen

Gornik Zabrze

4-2-3-1
25 M. Szromnik G
22 Manu Sánchez D
26 R. Janicki D
20 Josema D
17 K. Lukoszek D
6 D. Rasak M
8 P. Hellebrand M
41 S. Kozuki M
10 Ł. Podolski M
16 P. Olkowski M
44 A. Buksa F
Bench (9)
30 N. Zielonka
7 L. Zahović
23 Filipe Nascimento
18 L. Ambros
15 N. Wojtuszek
5 K. Szcześniak
27 D. Szala
21 P. Krawczyk
1 F. Majchrowicz

Coach: J. Urban

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Sylwestrzak · 101 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.