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Serie B
Referee: Giuseppe Mucera
Sampdoria
U S T U U
0–1
Full-time
Mantova
T U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sampdoria Mantova
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,3
0,7
Conceded
1,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,3
This season — Serie B · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 10%
10%
10%
Points per game
0,7
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
40%
50%
Both score Ø 65%
70%
60%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

45% Possession 55%
14 Shots 8
2 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
11 Corners 6
1 Offside 2
18 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sampdoria 18. · Mantova 20.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Modena 11 7 3 1 +13 +0.4 24
2 Monza 11 7 2 2 +8 +1.2 23
3 Frosinone 11 6 3 2 +11 +2.6 21
4 Cesena 11 6 2 3 +3 +0.8 20
5 Palermo 11 5 4 2 +7 -1.2 19
6 Venezia 11 4 4 3 +6 16
7 Avellino 11 4 4 3 -3 +0.2 16
8 Catanzaro 11 3 6 2 +2 15
9 Reggiana 11 4 3 4 +0 -0.4 15
10 Carrarese 11 3 5 3 +2 -0.8 14
11 Juve Stabia 10 3 5 2 -1 14
12 Padova 11 3 5 3 -1 14
13 Virtus Entella 11 3 4 4 -5 -2.6 13
14 Bari 10 3 3 4 -5 12
15 Sudtirol 11 2 5 4 -3 11
16 Empoli 11 2 5 4 -5 -0.7 11
17 Pescara 11 1 5 5 -8 -0.2 8
18 Sampdoria 10 1 4 5 -5 +0.7 7
19 Spezia 11 1 4 6 -5 7
20 Mantova 10 1 2 7 -11 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sampdoria Mantova
Liam Henderson 🟨
1′
Half-time 0–0
L. Benedetti 🔁
↦ L. Henderson
53′
62′
🔁 D. Mensah
↦ L. Mancuso
62′
🔁 T. Maggioni
↦ C. Bani
Nicholas Ioannou 🟨
70′
L. Venuti 🔁
↦ N. Ioannou
70′
A. Bellemo 🔁
↦ M. Ricci
77′
S. Vulikic 🔁
↦ D. Hadzikadunic
77′
79′
🔁 C. Falletti
↦ F. Paoletti
79′
🔁 T. Marras
↦ F. Galuppini
87′
F. Ruocco 0–1
N. Radaelli
89′
🔁 D. Wieser
↦ F. Artioli
92′
ℹ️ Simone Trimboli
VAR: Penalty cancelled
Full-time 0–1

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,91
U
3,40
B ✓
3,74
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,97
U2,5 ✓
1,75
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Giuseppe Mucera · 11 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.