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Ligue 1

Referee: Willy Delajod

Brest

T U U U S

0–1

Full-time

Paris SG

U U U T S

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brest Paris SG

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 92%

83%

100%

Average goals

2,8

3,8

Scored

1,3

2,2

Conceded

1,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ligue 1 · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,7

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

3,7

Scored

2,0

1,7

Conceded

1,7

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,24 xG 1,16

41% Possession 59%

16 Shots 15

4 Shots on target 7

4 Blocked shots 4

6 Goalkeeper saves 6

3 Corners 2

3 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 7

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Brest 7. · Paris SG 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lille	4	3	1	0	+5	-0.9	10
2	Monaco	4	3	1	0	+4	+1.1	10
3	Rennes	4	3	1	0	+3	-1.2	10
4	Lyon	4	2	2	0	+4	-1.0	8
5	Paris FC	4	2	2	0	+4	+3.0	8
6	Strasbourg	4	2	1	1	+1	-2.8	7
7	Brest	3	1	2	0	+1	+3.9	5
8	Lorient	4	1	2	1	+0	-0.7	5
9	Lens	4	1	1	2	+1	+3.7	4
10	Angers	4	1	1	2	-1	+0.5	4
11	Troyes	4	1	1	2	-5	-0.4	4
12	Marseille	4	1	0	3	+0	+1.4	3
13	Le Mans	4	0	3	1	-1	-2.1	3
14	Auxerre	4	1	0	3	-6	-2.3	3
15	Paris SG	3	0	2	1	-1	+1.5	2
16	Le Havre	4	0	2	2	-2	-1.8	2
17	Toulouse	4	0	2	2	-3	+0.2	2
18	Nice	4	0	2	2	-4	-1.8	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rennes	3	2	1	0	+2	-1.2	7
2	Paris FC	2	1	1	0	+3	+1.6	4
3	Lyon	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.1	4
4	Lille	2	1	1	0	+2	-0.2	4
5	Strasbourg	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.1	4
6	Marseille	2	1	0	1	+3	+1.7	3
7	Lens	2	1	0	1	+2	+2.6	3
8	Monaco	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.3	3
9	Auxerre	2	1	0	1	-1	+0.3	3
10	Le Mans	2	0	2	0	+0	-2.1	2
11	Nice	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.2	2
12	Brest	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.9	1
13	Lorient	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.0	1
14	Le Havre	3	0	1	2	-2	-0.8	1
15	Troyes	2	0	1	1	-4	-1.4	1
16	Paris SG	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
17	Angers	2	0	0	2	-3	+0.8	0
18	Toulouse	2	0	0	2	-3	+2.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Monaco	3	2	1	0	+2	+0.8	7
2	Lille	2	2	0	0	+3	-0.8	6
3	Angers	2	1	1	0	+2	-0.3	4
4	Lyon	2	1	1	0	+2	-2.1	4
5	Brest	2	1	1	0	+1	+2.1	4
6	Paris FC	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.4	4
7	Lorient	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.2	4
8	Rennes	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
9	Strasbourg	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.7	3
10	Troyes	2	1	0	1	-1	+1.0	3
11	Toulouse	2	0	2	0	+0	-1.9	2
12	Paris SG	2	0	2	0	+0	+1.5	2
13	Le Havre	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.1	1
14	Le Mans	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.1	1
15	Lens	2	0	1	1	-1	+1.1	1
16	Marseille	2	0	0	2	-3	-0.3	0
17	Nice	2	0	0	2	-4	-1.6	0
18	Auxerre	2	0	0	2	-5	-2.6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.