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La Liga
Referee: Juan Martinez Munuera
Sociedad
T T S U S
0–3
Full-time
Ath Madrid
S U S T T
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sociedad Ath Madrid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,7
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,5
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — La Liga · 5/4 matches
Win Ø 45%
40%
50%
Points per game
1,4
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 68%
60%
75%
Both score Ø 55%
60%
50%
Average goals
2,8
3,3
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
1,6
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,27 xG 2,05
54% Possession 46%
8 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sociedad 11. · Ath Madrid 9.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Barcelona 5 5 0 0 +17 +9.6 15
2 Real Madrid 5 4 0 1 +10 +7.5 12
3 Alaves 5 3 1 1 +6 +2.7 10
4 Sevilla 5 3 1 1 +2 -0.6 10
5 La Coruna 5 2 3 0 +3 -1.6 9
6 Betis 4 3 0 1 +0 -1.4 9
7 Espanol 5 2 1 2 +3 -1.4 7
8 Ath Bilbao 5 2 1 2 +1 -1.1 7
9 Ath Madrid 4 2 1 1 +1 -2.0 7
10 Santander 5 2 1 2 +0 +2.0 7
11 Sociedad 5 2 1 2 -2 -1.4 7
12 Osasuna 5 2 1 2 -3 +2.9 7
13 Levante 5 1 2 2 -2 -0.0 5
14 Getafe 5 1 2 2 -3 -3.2 5
15 Celta 6 0 4 2 -3 -2.6 4
16 Vallecano 5 1 1 3 -6 -5.0 4
17 Malaga 5 0 3 2 -6 -3.3 3
18 Villarreal 4 0 2 2 -2 +2.2 2
19 Elche 5 0 2 3 -7 -3.5 2
20 Valencia 5 0 1 4 -9 +0.3 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sociedad Ath Madrid
Yangel Herrera 🟨
18′
Half-time 0–0
59′
🔁 Johnny Cardoso
↦ Alejandro Baena Rodríguez
60′
🔁 Jonathan David
↦ Marcos Llorente
60′
🔁 Koke
↦ Lee Kang-In
Pellegrino Matarazzo 🟨
72′
Job Ochieng 🔁
↦ Ander Barrenetxea
72′
Takefusa Kubo 🔁
↦ Gonçalo Guedes
72′
75′
🟨 Johnny Cardoso
76′
🔁 Arnau Ortiz
↦ Ademola Lookman
Jon Gorrotxategi 🔁
↦ Carlos Soler
78′
Mikel Oyarzabal 🟨
78′
Orri Steinn Óskarsson 🔁
↦ Mikel Oyarzabal
79′
84′
Alejandro Grimaldo 0–1
Arsen Zakharyan 🔁
↦ Yangel Herrera
85′
90′
Jonathan David 0–2
Alejandro Grimaldo
95′
Giuliano Simeone Baldini 0–3
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Sociedad

4-2-3-1
1 Álex Remiro G
2 J. Aramburu D
34 Luken Beitia D
19 M. Sarr D
17 Sergio Gómez D
21 Y. Herrera M
18 Carlos Soler M
11 Gonçalo Guedes M
24 L. Sučić M
7 Barrenetxea M
10 Mikel Oyarzabal F
Bench (12)
3 Aihen Muñoz
13 Unai Marrero
22 Héctor Fort
12 J. Ochieng
4 Jon Gorrotxategi
14 T. Kubo
16 Jon Pacheco
29 Alex Garcia
8 Beñat Turrientes
23 A. Zakharyan
9 O. Óskarsson
27 Gorka Carrera

Coach: P. Matarazzo

Ath Madrid

4-4-2
13 J. Oblak G
14 Marcos Llorente D
21 C. Romero D
17 D. Hancko D
18 Marc Pubill D
20 G. Simeone M
10 Álex Baena M
23 M. Hjulmand M
22 Álex Grimaldo M
7 Lee Kang-In F
11 A. Lookman F
Bench (12)
5 J. Cardoso
15 J. David
27 J. Dominguez
25 Salvador Esquivel
6 Koke
24 Robin Le Normand
4 Rodrigo Mendoza
1 J. Musso
16 Arnau Ortiz
3 O. Vargas
45 Javier Gil
30 Dani Martínez

Coach: D. Simeone

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,81
U
3,48
B ✓
2,35
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
1,17
U1,5
4,80
O2,5 ✓
1,64
U2,5
2,17
O3,5
2,42
U3,5 ✓
1,52
Both teams to score
BLS ja
1,49
BLS nei ✓
2,50

Referee

Juan Martinez Munuera · 112 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.