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Serie B

Referee: V Crezzini

Sampdoria

S U S T S

1–0

Full-time

Mantova

T S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sampdoria Mantova

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,5

2,3

Scored

2,0

1,0

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,3

This season — Serie B · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 62%

67%

56%

Average goals

3,2

2,7

Scored

1,7

1,2

Conceded

1,6

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

30% Possession 70%

20 Shots 11

7 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 4

5 Goalkeeper saves 6

3 Corners 5

6 Offside 0

12 Free kicks against 19

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sampdoria 13. · Mantova 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	10	6	3	1	+11	21
2	Spezia	10	5	5	0	+7	20
3	Pisa	9	6	2	1	+6	20
4	Cremonese	10	5	2	3	+4	17
5	Palermo	10	4	3	3	+3	15
6	Juve Stabia	10	4	3	3	+0	15
7	Cesena	10	4	2	4	+1	14
8	Brescia	10	4	1	5	-2	13
9	Bari	10	2	6	2	+2	12
10	Sudtirol	9	4	0	5	-1	12
11	Reggiana	10	3	3	4	-1	12
12	Mantova	9	3	3	3	-2	12
13	Sampdoria	9	3	2	4	+1	11
14	Carrarese	10	3	2	5	-2	11
15	Cosenza	10	2	5	3	-2	11
16	Salernitana	10	3	2	5	-3	11
17	Modena	10	2	4	4	-2	10
18	Catanzaro	9	1	6	2	-1	9
19	Cittadella	10	2	3	5	-9	9
20	Frosinone	9	1	3	5	-10	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pisa	5	4	1	0	+6	13
2	Cesena	6	4	1	1	+5	13
3	Spezia	5	4	1	0	+5	13
4	Sassuolo	5	3	1	1	+5	10
5	Mantova	4	3	1	0	+3	10
6	Brescia	5	3	0	2	+2	9
7	Carrarese	5	2	2	1	+3	8
8	Reggiana	5	2	2	1	+2	8
9	Cremonese	5	2	2	1	+1	8
10	Cosenza	6	2	2	2	-1	8
11	Modena	5	2	1	2	+1	7
12	Salernitana	5	2	1	2	-1	7
13	Catanzaro	5	1	3	1	+1	6
14	Bari	5	1	3	1	+0	6
15	Juve Stabia	4	2	0	2	+0	6
16	Sudtirol	5	2	0	3	-2	6
17	Palermo	4	1	2	1	+1	5
18	Sampdoria	4	1	1	2	-1	4
19	Cittadella	4	0	3	1	-1	3
20	Frosinone	5	0	3	2	-4	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	5	3	2	0	+6	11
2	Palermo	6	3	1	2	+2	10
3	Cremonese	5	3	0	2	+3	9
4	Juve Stabia	6	2	3	1	+0	9
5	Sampdoria	5	2	1	2	+2	7
6	Spezia	5	1	4	0	+2	7
7	Pisa	4	2	1	1	+0	7
8	Bari	5	1	3	1	+2	6
9	Sudtirol	4	2	0	2	+1	6
10	Cittadella	6	2	0	4	-8	6
11	Salernitana	5	1	1	3	-2	4
12	Reggiana	5	1	1	3	-3	4
13	Brescia	5	1	1	3	-4	4
14	Cosenza	4	0	3	1	-1	3
15	Catanzaro	4	0	3	1	-2	3
16	Modena	5	0	3	2	-3	3
17	Carrarese	5	1	0	4	-5	3
18	Frosinone	4	1	0	3	-6	3
19	Mantova	5	0	2	3	-5	2
20	Cesena	4	0	1	3	-4	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.