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Bundesliga
Tirol
U T T S S
2–2
Full-time
Hartberg
T T T S S
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tirol Hartberg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Bundesliga · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 40%
40%
40%
Points per game
1,4
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
60%
40%
Both score Ø 40%
40%
40%
Average goals
2,8
2,6
Scored
1,4
1,0
Conceded
1,4
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

66% Possession 34%
16 Shots 5
7 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
14 Corners 5
2 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Tirol 5. · Hartberg 7.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 LASK 5 5 0 0 +13 +8.6 15
2 SK Rapid 6 5 0 1 +11 +6.6 15
3 Salzburg 6 4 2 0 +11 +7.5 14
4 Sturm Graz 5 2 2 1 +1 +2.4 8
5 Tirol 5 2 1 2 +0 -1.7 7
6 Grazer AK 6 2 1 3 -10 -3.3 7
7 Hartberg 5 2 0 3 -3 -4.3 6
8 Wolfsberger AC 6 1 2 3 -3 -4.1 5
9 Ried 6 1 2 3 -4 -0.6 5
10 A. Lustenau 5 1 2 2 -4 -3.2 5
11 Altach 6 1 0 5 -5 -1.6 3
12 Austria Vienna 5 1 0 4 -7 -6.2 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Tirol Hartberg
14′
Oliver Lukic 0–1
44′
Marco Hoffmann 0–2
Tobias Kainz
Half-time 0–2
Lukas Hinterseer 🔁
↦ Nikolai Baden Frederiksen
62′
Moritz Wels 🔁
↦ M. Olakigbe
62′
63′
🔁 Matthias Postl
↦ Youba Diarra
1–2 Lukas Hinterseer
Matthäus Taferner
72′
73′
🔁 Habib Coulibaly
↦ Marco Hoffmann
Murat Satin 🔁
↦ Thomas Goiginger
77′
84′
🔁 Lukas Spendlhofer
↦ paul komposch
84′
🔁 Jed Drew
↦ Fabian Wilfinger
Thomas Sabitzer 🔁
↦ Marc Striednig
88′
2–2 Murat Satin
95′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Tirol

4-2-3-1
1 S. Hamzić G
5 D. Murray D
23 M. Boras D
3 D. Gugganig D
28 M. Oswald D
6 Marc Striednig M
30 M. Taferner M
18 H. Balić M
36 T. Goiginger M
17 M. Olakigbe M
8 N. Frederiksen F
Bench (9)
43 N. Čelić
13 A. Eckmayr
32 Raphael Gschösser
16 L. Hinterseer
27 D. Jaunegg
14 D. Kubatta
10 T. Sabitzer
11 M. Şatin
37 M. Wels

Coach: P. Semlic

Hartberg

4-1-4-1
91 Á. Pécsi G
18 F. Wilfinger D
27 K. Schopp D
14 P. Komposch D
16 M. Dalpiaz D
4 B. Markuš M
7 A. Gattermayer M
5 Y. Diarra M
23 T. Kainz M
10 O. Lukic M
22 M. Hoffman F
Bench (9)
95 Nikolaus Feldhofer
17 J. Karner
77 D. Korherr
21 L. Marić
8 M. Postl
49 A. Radulović
19 L. Spendlhofer
11 J. Drew
6 Habib Coulibaly

Coach: M. Schopp

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,05
U ✓
3,44
B
3,40
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
1,25
U1,5
3,60
O2,5 ✓
1,82
U2,5
1,95
O3,5 ✓
3,00
U3,5
1,33
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
1,65
BLS nei
2,10

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.