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Super League

Referee: Anastasios Papapetrou

Asteras Tripolis

U S T T T

1–1

Full-time

AEK

S U S S S

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Asteras Tripolis AEK

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

33%

83%

Points per game

1,2

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

1,8

3,5

Scored

0,7

3,3

Conceded

1,2

0,2

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+3,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 3/4 matches

Win Ø 38%

75%

Points per game

0,0

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

33%

75%

Both score Ø 29%

33%

25%

Average goals

2,3

4,0

Scored

0,3

3,8

Conceded

2,0

0,3

Goal diff per game

-1,7

+3,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

37% Possession 63%

13 Shots 21

5 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 8

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 5

0 Offside 2

18 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Asteras Tripolis 14. · AEK 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AEK	4	3	1	0	+14	+4.1	10
2	Panathinaikos	3	3	0	0	+6	+1.8	9
3	Panetolikos	3	3	0	0	+6	+0.8	9
4	OFI Crete	5	3	0	2	+3	-0.4	9
5	Olympiakos	4	2	1	1	+1	+5.0	7
6	PAOK	3	2	0	1	+3	+0.2	6
7	Aris Thessalonikis	3	2	0	1	-3	-1.4	6
8	Aris	3	2	0	1	-3	–	6
9	Iraklis	4	1	2	1	-2	-2.4	5
10	Kalamata	5	1	1	3	-2	-2.5	4
11	Atromitos	4	0	2	2	-2	-3.4	2
12	Volos NFC	4	0	2	2	-4	-1.0	2
13	Kifisia	3	0	1	2	-4	+1.1	1
14	Asteras Tripolis	3	0	0	3	-5	-0.2	0
15	Levadeiakos	3	0	0	3	-8	-1.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AEK	3	3	0	0	+14	+4.8	9
2	Panathinaikos	2	2	0	0	+4	+1.7	6
3	Panetolikos	2	2	0	0	+4	+0.8	6
4	OFI Crete	2	2	0	0	+4	+0.1	6
5	PAOK	1	1	0	0	+4	+1.6	3
6	Aris Thessalonikis	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.4	3
7	Aris	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
8	Kalamata	3	1	0	2	+0	-1.3	3
9	Olympiakos	2	1	0	1	+0	+2.9	3
10	Volos NFC	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.5	2
11	Kifisia	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.7	1
12	Iraklis	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
13	Atromitos	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.5	1
14	Asteras Tripolis	2	0	0	2	-3	-0.9	0
15	Levadeiakos	2	0	0	2	-4	-0.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Olympiakos	2	1	1	0	+1	+2.1	4
2	Iraklis	3	1	1	1	-2	-2.4	4
3	Panetolikos	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
4	Panathinaikos	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.1	3
5	OFI Crete	3	1	0	2	-1	-0.4	3
6	PAOK	2	1	0	1	-1	-1.4	3
7	Aris Thessalonikis	2	1	0	1	-4	-1.8	3
8	Aris	2	1	0	1	-4	–	3
9	AEK	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.7	1
10	Atromitos	2	0	1	1	-1	-2.9	1
11	Kalamata	2	0	1	1	-2	-1.2	1
12	Asteras Tripolis	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.7	0
13	Volos NFC	2	0	0	2	-4	-0.5	0
14	Kifisia	2	0	0	2	-4	+0.4	0
15	Levadeiakos	1	0	0	1	-4	-1.6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.