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Eliteserien
Referee: Ola Hobber Nilsen
Start
T T S S T
2–0
Full-time
Brann
U S S U T
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Start Brann
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,3
2,0
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eliteserien · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 29%
16%
42%
Points per game
0,7
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 71%
58%
84%
Both score Ø 71%
63%
79%
Average goals
3,2
3,5
Scored
1,1
1,9
Conceded
2,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,1
+0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

37% Possession 63%
22 Shots 14
6 Shots on target 4
8 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
9 Corners 8
0 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 15
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Start 16. · Brann 7.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 19 15 2 2 +34 +27.3 47
2 Viking 20 15 2 3 +31 +15.7 47
3 Tromso 20 10 5 5 +10 +7.2 35
4 Molde 19 10 3 6 +9 +11.5 33
5 Lillestrom 20 10 2 8 +2 +3.9 32
6 Rosenborg 20 9 3 8 +7 -1.6 30
7 Brann 19 8 2 9 +8 +1.9 26
8 Fredrikstad 19 8 2 9 -7 -9.7 26
9 Sarpsborg 08 19 6 6 7 -3 -0.3 24
10 Ham-Kam 19 6 5 8 -10 -5.4 23
11 Valerenga 20 6 4 10 -9 -3.3 22
12 Sandefjord 19 5 5 9 -8 -9.1 20
13 KFUM Oslo 19 5 4 10 -13 -11.4 19
14 Kristiansund 20 5 4 11 -17 -10.2 19
15 Aalesund 19 3 9 7 -13 -12.8 18
16 Start 19 3 4 12 -21 -3.8 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Start Brann
17′
🟨 Niklas Wassberg
26′
🟨 Leo Cornic
1–0 Ousmane Diallo Toure
Erlend Segberg
44′
Half-time 1–0
57′
🔁 Neraysho Kasanwirjo
↦ Bård Finne
57′
🔁 Kristian Eriksen
↦ Niklas Wassberg
Jesper Cornelius 🔁
↦ Nikolaos Koutsakos
63′
Eirik Schulze 🔁
↦ Hakon Lorentzen
76′
83′
🔁 Vetle Winger Dragsnes
↦ Joachim Soltvedt
83′
🔁 Julian Laegreid
↦ Ulrik Mathisen
86′
🟨 Neraysho Kasanwirjo
Johan Meyer 🔁
↦ Erlend Dahl Reitan
93′
2–0 Jesper Cornelius
94′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Start

5-3-2
45 F. Manojlović G
27 O. Toure D
29 E. Reitan D
3 A. Ujkani D
28 J. Husebø D
5 S. Granheim D
10 S. Mvoué M
23 E. Segberg M
18 M. Ugland M
20 H. Lorentzen F
9 N. Koutsakos F
Bench (9)
24 S. Strand-Kolbjørnsen
17 J. Cornelius
13 S. Griesbeck
8 N. Jojić
4 J. Meyer
15 M. Nordal
2 F. Pålerud
11 E. Schulze
35 S. Samuyiwa

Coach: A. Karadas

Brann

4-3-3
1 M. Dyngeland G
2 L. Cornic D
3 F. Knudsen D
23 T. Pedersen D
17 J. Soltvedt D
10 K. Ingason M
18 J. Sørensen M
25 N. Jensen Wassberg M
14 U. Mathisen F
11 B. Finne F
9 N. Castro F
Bench (8)
21 N. Kasanwirjo
39 J. Lægreid
12 S. Nilsen
15 J. Torsvik
20 V. Dragsnes
16 K. Eriksen
41 Andreas Wilhelmsen
43 B. Haugen

Coach: E. Horneland

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,22
U
3,82
B
2,00
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
1,14
U1,5
4,80
O2,5
1,57
U2,5 ✓
2,38
O3,5
2,38
U3,5 ✓
1,54
Both teams to score
BLS ja
1,50
BLS nei ✓
2,45

Referee

Ola Hobber Nilsen · 129 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.