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Superligaen
Nordsjaelland
S S S T U
2–0
Full-time
Aarhus
U T T T U
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nordsjaelland Aarhus
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,2
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,2
3,5
Scored
2,0
1,2
Conceded
1,2
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Superligaen · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 29%
57%
0%
Points per game
2,0
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
43%
71%
Both score Ø 65%
43%
86%
Average goals
2,4
3,1
Scored
1,6
1,3
Conceded
0,9
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%
19 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 2
11 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 4
2 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Nordsjaelland 3. · Aarhus 11. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 FC Copenhagen 8 7 0 1 +14 +0.7 21
2 Midtjylland 7 4 3 0 +5 +2.8 15
3 Nordsjaelland 7 4 2 1 +5 +8.7 14
4 Viborg 8 4 2 2 +4 +3.2 14
5 Brondby 7 4 1 2 +1 -1.4 13
6 Horsens 8 3 1 4 -1 -5.6 10
7 Randers FC 8 3 1 4 -1 -5.0 10
8 Odense 8 2 2 4 -6 -1.0 8
9 Lyngby 8 1 4 3 -2 +3.9 7
10 Silkeborg 8 1 4 3 -4 -3.4 7
11 Aarhus 7 0 4 3 -4 +2.2 4
12 Sonderjyske 8 0 2 6 -11 -5.2 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

23. Apr -26 Nordsjaelland – Aarhus 1–1 10. Apr -26 Aarhus – Nordsjaelland 1–1 24. Oct -25 Aarhus – Nordsjaelland 1–0 28. Sep -25 Nordsjaelland – Aarhus 1–2 16. May -25 Nordsjaelland – Aarhus 2–0

Match report

Nordsjaelland Aarhus
Runar Robinsonn Norheim ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade confirmed
13′
Runar Robinsonn Norheim 🟨
14′
18′
🟨 Kristian Arnstad
42′
🔁 Jacob Andersen
↦ Eric Kahl
Half-time 0–0
Hjalte Rasmussen 🔁
↦ Ibrahim Adel
59′
Malte Heyde 🔁
↦ Mark Brink
59′
59′
🔁 Tobias Bech Kristensen
↦ Janni Serra
60′
🔁 Luka Callø
↦ Rasmus Carstensen
62′
ℹ️ Mads Christiansen
VAR: Card upgrade confirmed
Jens Fønsskov Olsen 🟨
68′
1–0 Alexander Lind ⚽
Juho Lähteenmäki
76′
77′
🔁 Mikael Anderson
↦ Frederik Emmery
77′
🔁 James Bogere
↦ Callum McCowatt
Villum Berthelsen 🔁
↦ Prince Amoako Junior
79′
Alexander Lind 🟨
79′
89′
🟨 Magnus Knudsen
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Nordsjaelland

3-4-3
13 A. Hansen G
2 P. Ankersen D
25 V. Nelsson D
4 Noah Markmann D
5 J. Lähteenmäki M
18 Justin Janssen M
6 M. Brink M
23 R. Norheim M
14 Ibrahim Adel F
11 A. Lind F
10 P. Amoako F
Bench (9)
29 V. Berthelsen
9 O. Solbakken
47 M. Heyde
42 M. Tuka
28 M. Walker
37 Lamine Sadio
35 V. Rutkjaer
22 C. Eriksson
40 H. Boe Rasmussen

Coach: J. Olsen

Aarhus

3-4-2-1
21 M. Hedenstad Christiansen G
25 C. Rösler D
3 D. Grétarsson D
19 E. Kahl D
29 R. Carstensen M
4 M. Knudsen M
18 C. McCowatt M
39 Frederik Emmery M
8 S. Jørgensen M
10 Kristian Fredrik Malt Arnstad M
13 J. Serra F
Bench (9)
26 J. Andersen
23 M. Anderson
31 T. Bech
28 J. Bogere
33 Luka Callø
1 J. Hansen
16 J. Jønsson
14 T. Mølgaard
7 M. Solbakken

Coach: J. Poulsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,80
🔒
U
3,88
🔒
B
3,75
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
1,13
🔒
U1,5
5,50
🔒
O2,5
1,44
🔒
U2,5 ✓
2,63
🔒
O3,5
2,17
🔒
U3,5 ✓
1,67
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
1,44
🔒
BLS nei ✓
2,60
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.