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Ekstraklasa
Referee: Patryk Gryckiewicz
Legia
S U U T S
1–1
Full-time
Widzew Lodz
T U T T U
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Legia Widzew Lodz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 36%
57%
14%
Points per game
2,1
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
43%
57%
Both score Ø 64%
71%
57%
Average goals
3,0
2,9
Scored
2,1
1,4
Conceded
0,9
1,4
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

50% Possession 50%
15 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 5
2 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Legia 3. · Widzew Lodz 14.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Gornik Zabrze 7 6 0 1 +6 +0.6 18
2 Lech Poznan 7 5 1 1 +6 +6.4 16
3 Legia 7 4 3 0 +9 +4.6 15
4 Wisla 8 4 2 2 +4 +4.5 14
5 Pogon Szczecin 7 3 3 1 +5 -1.1 12
6 Korona Kielce 7 3 3 1 +3 -1.9 12
7 Zaglebie 7 3 3 1 +2 +0.6 12
8 Jagiellonia 7 4 0 3 +1 +1.9 12
9 Piast Gliwice 7 3 1 3 +0 -4.2 10
10 GKS Katowice 7 3 0 4 +2 -1.3 9
11 Cracovia 8 2 2 4 -4 +3.2 8
12 Wisla Plock 7 2 2 3 -5 -0.9 8
13 Radomiak Radom 7 2 2 3 -7 -2.9 8
14 Widzew Lodz 7 1 4 2 +0 -0.2 7
15 Slask Wroclaw 8 1 3 4 -3 -0.1 6
16 Motor Lublin 8 1 2 5 -6 -1.0 5
17 Wieczysta Krakow 7 1 1 5 -6 -0.9 4
18 Rakow 7 1 0 6 -7 -7.3 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Legia Widzew Lodz
1–0 Rafał Augustyniak
Rúben Vinagre
19′
21′
Kamil Piątkowski 2–0
own goal
44′
🟨 Karol Świderski
Half-time 2–0
55′
🟨 mariusz fornalczyk
Rafal Adamski 🔁
↦ Mateusz Szczepaniak
62′
65′
🔁 Dani Silva
↦ Fran Alvarez
65′
🔁 Mateusz Żyro
↦ Marcel Krajewski
Jakub Zewlakow 🔁
↦ Michal Sevcik
73′
Bogdan V'Yunnik 🔁
↦ Jan Kuchta
74′
74′
🔁 Sebastian Bergier
↦ Karol Świderski
Damian Szymański 🔁
↦ Bartosz Kapustka
74′
84′
🔁 Antoni Klukowski
↦ Stipe Biuk
Arkadiusz Reca 🔁
↦ Kamil Piątkowski
88′
Rúben Vinagre 🟨
94′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Legia

3-4-3
89 O. Hindrich G
91 K. Piątkowski D
8 R. Augustyniak D
5 Robert Deziel D
22 P. Wszołek M
53 W. Urbański M
67 B. Kapustka M
19 Rúben Vinagre M
23 M. Ševčík F
7 J. Kuchta F
17 M. Szczepaniak F
Bench (10)
1 I. Brkić
24 Z. Arsenić
9 R. Adamski
11 K. Chodyna
13 A. Reca
6 Henrique Arreiol
4 D. Szymański
27 Bogdan V'Yunnik
79 Ł. Zjawiński
20 J. Żewłakow

Coach: M. Papszun

Widzew Lodz

4-1-4-1
1 B. Drągowski G
91 M. Krajewski D
25 P. Wiśniewski D
3 S. Kapuadi D
40 Mario García D
5 G. Papanikolaou M
79 S. Biuk M
10 Fran Álvarez M
8 E. Kornvig M
7 M. Fornalczyk M
28 K. Świderski F
Bench (8)
4 M. Żyro
14 Visus
90 Ioan Vermeșan
18 L. Selahi
20 A. Klukowski
30 V. Ilić
99 S. Bergier
80 Dani Silva

Coach: M. Stolarski

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,82
U ✓
3,48
B
4,19
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
1,30
U1,5
3,20
O2,5
2,01
U2,5 ✓
1,76
O3,5
3,50
U3,5 ✓
1,25
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
1,85
BLS nei
1,85

Referee

Patryk Gryckiewicz · 13 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.