Super League
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Kalamata
Volos NFC
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
AEK
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +14 | +4.1 | 10 |
| 2 |
Panathinaikos
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +6 | +1.8 | 9 |
| 3 |
Panetolikos
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +6 | +0.8 | 9 |
| 4 |
OFI Crete
|
5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | +3 | -0.4 | 9 |
| 5 |
Olympiakos
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 | +5.0 | 7 |
| 6 |
PAOK
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +3 | +0.2 | 6 |
| 7 |
Aris Thessalonikis
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -3 | -1.4 | 6 |
| 8 |
Aris
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -3 | – | 6 |
| 9 |
Iraklis
|
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -2 | -2.4 | 5 |
| 10 |
Atromitos
|
4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | -3.4 | 2 |
| 11 |
Volos NFC
|
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2 | -1.0 | 2 |
| 12 |
Kalamata
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -4 | -2.5 | 1 |
| 13 |
Kifisia
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | +1.1 | 1 |
| 14 |
Asteras Tripolis
|
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -5 | -0.2 | 0 |
| 15 |
Levadeiakos
|
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -8 | -1.7 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
I. Gelios
G
P. Kaloutsikidis
D
S. Stroungis
D
Rodrigues
D
Julio Alonso
D
G. Piñeiro
M
A. Mendes Moreira
M
M. Carreazo
M
E. Hamza
M
A. Sigurðsson
M
J. Bolívar
F
Coach: Panagiotis Christofileas
A. Koşelev
G
K. Lykourinos
D
H. Essaoubi
D
G. Kargas
D
H. Mendyl
D
M. Comba
M
V. Grosdis
M
Joca
M
M. González
M
L. Lamprou
M
Gustavo Furtado
F
Coach: K. Bratsos
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Atromitos
Kalamata
Panetolikos
Kalamata
Kalamata
Aris Thessalonikis
Kalamata
Aris
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.