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2. Bundesliga
Referee: Robert Hartmann
Karlsruhe
S U S T U
0–3
Full-time
Cottbus
S T T T U
⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Karlsruhe Cottbus
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,3
4,8
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
1,8
3,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 25%
25%
25%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 88%
75%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
75%
75%
Average goals
3,5
5,5
Scored
1,5
2,5
Conceded
2,0
3,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

57% Possession 43%
20 Shots 25
5 Shots on target 10
10 Blocked shots 3
7 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 8
4 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Karlsruhe 11. · Cottbus 13.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Nurnberg 5 4 1 0 +9 -0.1 13
2 Hertha 4 4 0 0 +7 +1.8 12
3 Magdeburg 5 3 0 2 +2 -3.1 9
4 Heidenheim 4 3 0 1 +1 +1.9 9
5 Wolfsburg 5 2 2 1 +3 +3.0 8
6 Kaiserslautern 5 2 2 1 +1 +0.9 8
7 Bochum 5 2 1 2 +0 +1.0 7
8 St Pauli 5 1 3 1 +0 +1.0 6
9 Osnabruck 4 2 0 2 -1 -1.7 6
10 Greuther Furth 5 1 2 2 -2 +0.0 5
11 Karlsruhe 4 1 2 1 -2 -1.5 5
12 Braunschweig 5 1 1 3 +0 +0.9 4
13 Cottbus 4 1 1 2 -2 -4.4 4
14 Bielefeld 5 1 1 3 -2 +3.0 4
15 Hannover 5 1 1 3 -3 +2.7 4
16 Darmstadt 5 1 1 3 -4 -3.9 4
17 Dresden 5 1 1 3 -5 -1.7 4
18 Holstein Kiel 4 0 3 1 -2 +0.3 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Karlsruhe Cottbus
7′
🟨 Lucas Copado
15′
ℹ️ Leonardo Bittencourt
VAR: Penalty cancelled
18′
🟨 Leonardo Bittencourt
45′
L. Michelbrink 0–1
L. Copado
Half-time 0–1
L. Egloff 🔁
↦ N. Eichinger
46′
46′
🔁 D. Pelivan
↦ L. Bittencourt
55′
D. Pelivan 0–2
T. Cigerci
61′
🔁 M. Hannemann
↦ J. Boziaris
62′
J. Butler 0–3
J. Ponente-Ramirez 🔁
↦ T. Civeja
64′
Rafael Pinto Pedrosa 🟨
65′
J. D. Meyer 🔁
↦ L. Ben Farhat
67′
73′
🔁 C. Kinsombi
↦ L. Copado
73′
🔁 D. Bogdanov
↦ J. Butler
S. Tremoulet 🔁
↦ C. Kobald
81′
S. Vaananen 🔁
↦ D. H. Zor
82′
85′
🔁 F. Doumbia
↦ T. Cigerci
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Karlsruhe

4-4-2
1 C. Bernat G
36 R. Pinto Pedrosa D
28 M. Franke D
22 C. Kobald D
3 D. Ofli D
26 D. H. Zor M
23 T. Civeja M
10 M. Wanitzek M
11 N. Eichinger M
19 L. Ben Farhat F
13 S. Fukuda F
Bench (9)
30 R. Himmelmann
33 V. Bergh
24 S. Tremoulet
15 P. Scholl
6 S. Vaananen
25 L. Egloff
17 E. Laghrissi
37 J. Ponente-Ramirez
27 J. D. Meyer

Coach: Maximilian Senft

Cottbus

4-2-3-1
1 M. Lotka G
3 H. Rorig D
2 K. Manu D
21 L. Erlein D
20 A. Borgmann D
8 L. Michelbrink M
32 L. Bittencourt M
10 T. Cigerci M
19 J. Boziaris M
9 L. Copado M
31 J. Butler F
Bench (9)
29 K. Kratzsch
23 F. Doumbia
16 R. Malone
4 T. Campulka
6 J. Hofmann
5 D. Pelivan
11 M. Hannemann
7 C. Kinsombi
13 D. Bogdanov

Coach: Claus-Dieter Wollitz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,66
U
4,21
B ✓
4,12
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
1,07
U1,5
7,00
O2,5 ✓
1,36
U2,5
2,96
O3,5
1,83
U3,5 ✓
1,90
Both teams to score
BLS ja
1,33
BLS nei ✓
3,04

Referee

Robert Hartmann · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.