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Süper Lig

Referee: Atilla Karaoglan

Galatasaray

U S S S T

1–0

Full-time

Kocaelispor

T T S S S

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Galatasaray Kocaelispor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

83%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

67%

17%

Average goals

3,8

1,7

Scored

2,2

0,8

Conceded

1,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 75%

75%

Points per game

2,5

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

100%

25%

Both score Ø 50%

75%

25%

Average goals

4,5

2,0

Scored

3,0

1,3

Conceded

1,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,40 xG 0,74

61% Possession 39%

28 Shots 12

9 Shots on target 1

6 Blocked shots 7

1 Goalkeeper saves 8

16 Corners 3

1 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 10

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Galatasaray 2. · Kocaelispor 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Besiktas	5	4	0	1	+8	+6.7	12
2	Galatasaray	4	3	1	0	+6	+7.3	10
3	Kasimpasa	5	2	3	0	+2	+0.5	9
4	Kocaelispor	4	3	0	1	+2	-1.1	9
5	Rizespor	5	3	0	2	+1	+3.4	9
6	Alanyaspor	5	2	2	1	+1	-1.1	8
7	Trabzonspor	5	2	1	2	+4	-0.3	7
8	Corum	5	2	1	2	+2	-1.4	7
9	Amedspor	4	2	1	1	+2	+2.4	7
10	Gaziantep	4	2	1	1	+2	+0.3	7
11	Genclerbirligi	5	2	1	2	-4	-4.0	7
12	Fenerbahce	4	2	0	2	+2	+1.9	6
13	Buyuksehyr	4	1	1	2	+0	+0.2	4
14	Samsunspor	5	1	1	3	-5	-1.9	4
15	Erzurumspor	5	1	1	3	-9	-5.9	4
16	Konyaspor	5	1	0	4	-4	-0.5	3
17	Eyüpspor	5	1	0	4	-6	-3.5	3
18	Goztep	5	0	2	3	-4	-2.9	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Besiktas	3	3	0	0	+8	+5.3	9
2	Trabzonspor	2	2	0	0	+6	+2.7	6
3	Amedspor	2	2	0	0	+4	+3.0	6
4	Kocaelispor	2	2	0	0	+3	+0.6	6
5	Galatasaray	2	1	1	0	+1	+4.5	4
6	Buyuksehyr	3	1	1	1	+1	+0.5	4
7	Alanyaspor	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.2	4
8	Genclerbirligi	3	1	1	1	+0	-1.2	4
9	Corum	2	1	0	1	+2	+2.6	3
10	Fenerbahce	2	1	0	1	+1	-1.0	3
11	Konyaspor	3	1	0	2	-1	-0.6	3
12	Eyüpspor	3	1	0	2	-2	-0.4	3
13	Erzurumspor	2	1	0	1	-3	-2.9	3
14	Kasimpasa	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.9	2
15	Gaziantep	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.3	1
16	Samsunspor	3	0	1	2	-6	-0.6	1
17	Goztep	2	0	0	2	-3	+0.4	0
18	Rizespor	2	0	0	2	-3	+1.5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rizespor	3	3	0	0	+4	+1.9	9
2	Kasimpasa	3	2	1	0	+2	-0.4	7
3	Galatasaray	2	2	0	0	+5	+2.7	6
4	Gaziantep	2	2	0	0	+3	+0.7	6
5	Corum	3	1	1	1	+0	-4.0	4
6	Alanyaspor	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.8	4
7	Fenerbahce	2	1	0	1	+1	+2.8	3
8	Samsunspor	2	1	0	1	+1	-1.4	3
9	Besiktas	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.4	3
10	Kocaelispor	2	1	0	1	-1	-1.6	3
11	Genclerbirligi	2	1	0	1	-4	-2.7	3
12	Goztep	3	0	2	1	-1	-3.3	2
13	Trabzonspor	3	0	1	2	-2	-3.0	1
14	Amedspor	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.6	1
15	Erzurumspor	3	0	1	2	-6	-3.0	1
16	Buyuksehyr	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.3	0
17	Konyaspor	2	0	0	2	-3	+0.1	0
18	Eyüpspor	2	0	0	2	-4	-3.0	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.