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Serie A

Referee: Juan Luca Sacchi

Sassuolo

S T S U U

3–2

Full-time

Juventus

T U S S U

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sassuolo Juventus

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,7

2,0

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

1,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Serie A · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,3

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 67%

100%

33%

Average goals

3,3

1,7

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

1,7

0,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,88 xG 1,00

45% Possession 55%

10 Shots 19

6 Shots on target 8

1 Blocked shots 6

6 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 10

2 Offside 2

8 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sassuolo 13. · Juventus 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lazio	4	3	1	0	+3	+2.0	10
2	Roma	3	3	0	0	+9	+5.3	9
3	Inter	3	3	0	0	+5	+3.0	9
4	Cagliari	4	3	0	1	+2	-2.0	9
5	Milan	4	2	2	0	+3	+1.3	8
6	Como	3	2	1	0	+4	-1.0	7
7	Frosinone	4	2	1	1	+3	-2.6	7
8	Juventus	3	2	1	0	+3	+3.1	7
9	Napoli	4	2	0	2	+1	+2.0	6
10	Atalanta	4	2	0	2	+0	-2.6	6
11	Lecce	4	2	0	2	-2	-4.8	6
12	Udinese	3	1	1	1	+0	-1.1	4
13	Sassuolo	3	1	1	1	+0	+2.4	4
14	Torino	3	1	0	2	-1	-1.5	3
15	Fiorentina	4	1	0	3	-6	+0.9	3
16	Bologna	4	0	1	3	-3	+0.5	1
17	Parma	3	0	1	2	-3	-1.5	1
18	Monza	4	0	1	3	-5	+2.6	1
19	Genoa	4	0	1	3	-6	-1.5	1
20	Venezia	4	0	0	4	-7	-4.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Roma	2	2	0	0	+5	+2.7	6
2	Inter	2	2	0	0	+4	-0.2	6
3	Atalanta	3	2	0	1	+1	-2.6	6
4	Juventus	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.3	4
5	Lazio	2	1	1	0	+1	+2.2	4
6	Milan	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.4	3
7	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.6	3
8	Frosinone	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.8	3
9	Napoli	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.9	3
10	Cagliari	2	1	0	1	+0	-2.1	3
11	Lecce	2	1	0	1	-3	-4.3	3
12	Udinese	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.3	1
13	Bologna	2	0	1	1	-1	+1.1	1
14	Parma	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.2	1
15	Genoa	3	0	1	2	-5	-0.3	1
16	Monza	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.7	0
17	Torino	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.9	0
18	Venezia	2	0	0	2	-4	-3.3	0
19	Fiorentina	2	0	0	2	-4	+1.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Como	3	2	1	0	+4	-1.0	7
2	Cagliari	2	2	0	0	+2	+0.0	6
3	Lazio	2	2	0	0	+2	-0.2	6
4	Milan	3	1	2	0	+1	-0.1	5
5	Frosinone	2	1	1	0	+3	-0.9	4
6	Roma	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.6	3
7	Napoli	2	1	0	1	+1	+0.1	3
8	Udinese	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.7	3
9	Lecce	2	1	0	1	+1	-0.5	3
10	Inter	1	1	0	0	+1	+3.2	3
11	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.8	3
12	Torino	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.6	3
13	Fiorentina	2	1	0	1	-2	-0.1	3
14	Sassuolo	2	0	1	1	-1	+1.8	1
15	Monza	3	0	1	2	-4	+1.9	1
16	Atalanta	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
17	Genoa	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.2	0
18	Parma	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.3	0
19	Bologna	2	0	0	2	-2	-0.7	0
20	Venezia	2	0	0	2	-3	-1.4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

21. Mar -26 Juventus – Sassuolo 1–1 6. Jan -26 Sassuolo – Juventus 0–3 16. Jan -24 Juventus – Sassuolo 3–0 23. Sep -23 Sassuolo – Juventus 4–2 16. Apr -23 Sassuolo – Juventus 1–0

Match report

Sassuolo Juventus

20′

🟨 J. Lucumi

Half-time 0–0

46′

🔁 L. Kelly

↦ J. Lucumi

L. Lipani 🟨

48′

D. Bakola 🔁

↦ L. Lipani

55′

60′

🔁 E. Zhegrova

↦ F. Conceicao

60′

🔁 N. Woltemade

↦ N. Gonzalez

1–0 S. Esposito ⚽

N. Matic

65′

B. Dominguez 🔁

↦ S. Esposito

71′

K. Bowie 🔁

↦ D. Berardi

71′

V. Adzic 🔁

↦ K. Thorstvedt

71′

🔁 P. M. Sarr

↦ T. Koopmeiners

76′

🟨 Douglas Luiz

D. Caleta-Car 🔁

↦ J. Idzes

81′

82′

⚽ E. Zhegrova 1–1

87′

🔁 J. Oboavwoduo

↦ K. Alajbegovic

2–1 K. Bowie ⚽

D. Bakola

89′

91′

⚽ E. Zhegrova 2–2

R. Kolo Muani

F. Leysen 🟨

93′

3–2 V. Adzic ⚽

94′

Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Sassuolo

4-3-3

Arijanet Murić G

Simone Cinquegrano D

Jay Idzes D

Fedde Leysen D

Josh Doig D

Kristian Thorstvedt M

Nemanja Matić M

Luca Lipani M

Domenico Berardi F

Sebastiano Esposito F

Armand Laurienté F

Bench (14)

80 Stefano Turati

22 Lorenzo Nyarko

20 Ignace Van der Brempt

26 Cas Odenthal

15 Duje Ćaleta-Car

17 Vasilije Adžić

8 Andrea Ghion

33 Rafael Obrador

25 Benjamín Domínguez

55 Ibrahim Sulemana

50 Darryl Bakola

9 Kieron Bowie

19 Laurs Skjellerup

77 Nicholas Pierini

Coach: Alberto Aquilani

Juventus

4-2-3-1

Guglielmo Vicario G

Pierre Kalulu D

Gleison Bremer D

Jhon Lucumí D

Zeki Çelik D

Douglas Luiz M

Teun Koopmeiners M

Francisco Conceição M

Nicolás González M

Kerim Alajbegović M

Randal Kolo Muani F

Bench (11)

23 Carlo Pinsoglio

1 Kamil Grabara

4 Federico Gatti

6 Lloyd Kelly

24 Daniele Rugani

41 Augusto Owusu

46 Filippo Pagnucco

98 Pape Matar Sarr

27 Nick Woltemade

99 Justin Oboavwoduo

11 Edon Zhegrova

Coach: Luciano Spalletti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

H ✓

5,12

🔒

Pinnacle 5,71 1xBet 5,69 Marathonbet 5,60 Betfair 5,50 Betano 5,40 Bet365 5,25 BetVictor 5,25 William Hill 5,00 SBO 4,40

3,94

🔒

1xBet 4,12 Betano 4,05 Marathonbet 4,05 Bet365 4,00 BetVictor 4,00 Pinnacle 3,98 Betfair 3,80 William Hill 3,75 SBO 3,45

1,62

🔒

Betano 1,70 1xBet 1,68 Pinnacle 1,65 Marathonbet 1,65 SBO 1,64 Bet365 1,62 Betfair 1,62 BetVictor 1,62 William Hill 1,62

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

1,23

🔒

U1,5

3,89

🔒

O2,5 ✓

1,78

🔒

U2,5

1,97

🔒

O3,5 ✓

2,88

🔒

U3,5

1,38

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja ✓

1,78

🔒

BLS nei

1,95

🔒

Recent matches

6. Sep SA 2 weeks ago

2. Sep CI 2 weeks ago

29. Aug SA 3 weeks ago

23. Aug SA 4 weeks ago

17. Aug CI 1 month ago

Referee

Juan Luca Sacchi · 17 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards

4,1 / match

Average

⚽ Free kicks

30,8 / match

Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match stats

Recent head-to-head meetings

Match report

Line-ups

Sassuolo

Juventus

Odds comparison

Recent matches

Referee