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Serie B

Referee: M Marchetti

Palermo

S S S S S

3–1

Full-time

Sampdoria

S T T U T

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Palermo Sampdoria

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

83%

17%

Points per game

2,5

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

3,3

1,5

Scored

2,2

0,5

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Serie B · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

3,0

2,5

Scored

2,0

1,0

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

46% Possession 54%

14 Shots 14

6 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 0

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 5

1 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Palermo 7. · Sampdoria 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Mantova	3	2	1	0	+3	+1.1	7
2	Sudtirol	3	2	1	0	+3	-1.3	7
3	Ascoli	3	2	1	0	+2	-1.9	7
4	Modena	3	2	0	1	+3	+0.7	6
5	Pisa	3	2	0	1	+3	+1.3	6
6	Avellino	3	2	0	1	+3	-0.6	6
7	Palermo	2	2	0	0	+2	+1.0	6
8	Empoli	3	2	0	1	+0	-0.6	6
9	Cesena	3	1	2	0	+1	+0.3	5
10	Verona	3	1	1	1	+4	+2.5	4
11	Padova	3	1	1	1	-1	-1.1	4
12	Vicenza	3	1	1	1	-2	-0.2	4
13	Cremonese	3	1	0	2	-2	-0.5	3
14	Juve Stabia	3	1	0	2	-3	-0.7	3
15	Arezzo	3	1	0	2	-5	-0.0	3
16	Sampdoria	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.0	1
17	Virtus Entella	3	0	1	2	-2	-0.2	1
18	Benevento	3	0	1	2	-2	+1.2	1
19	Carrarese	3	0	1	2	-2	-0.2	1
20	Catanzaro	3	0	0	3	-4	-1.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sudtirol	2	2	0	0	+3	+0.4	6
2	Ascoli	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.1	4
3	Verona	2	1	0	1	+4	+1.8	3
4	Avellino	2	1	0	1	+2	-0.6	3
5	Mantova	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.8	3
6	Vicenza	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.0	3
7	Empoli	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
8	Palermo	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
9	Pisa	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.3	3
10	Cremonese	2	1	0	1	-1	-0.3	3
11	Cesena	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.5	2
12	Padova	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.7	1
13	Virtus Entella	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.2	1
14	Benevento	2	0	1	1	-1	+1.2	1
15	Arezzo	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.8	0
16	Sampdoria	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.5	0
17	Modena	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
18	Carrarese	2	0	0	2	-2	-0.3	0
19	Juve Stabia	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Modena	2	2	0	0	+4	+0.7	6
2	Mantova	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.3	4
3	Pisa	1	1	0	0	+3	–	3
4	Palermo	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.8	3
5	Ascoli	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.8	3
6	Cesena	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.2	3
7	Avellino	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
8	Juve Stabia	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.7	3
9	Padova	2	1	0	1	-1	-0.4	3
10	Empoli	2	1	0	1	-1	-0.8	3
11	Arezzo	2	1	0	1	-4	+0.8	3
12	Sudtirol	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.7	1
13	Carrarese	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
14	Sampdoria	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.5	1
15	Verona	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.7	1
16	Vicenza	2	0	1	1	-3	-0.2	1
17	Cremonese	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
18	Benevento	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
19	Virtus Entella	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.4	0
20	Catanzaro	3	0	0	3	-4	-1.0	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

10. Feb -26 Sampdoria – Palermo 3–3 12. Dec -25 Palermo – Sampdoria 1–0 8. Mar -25 Sampdoria – Palermo 1–1 24. Nov -24 Palermo – Sampdoria 1–1 17. May -24 Palermo – Sampdoria 2–0

Match report

Palermo Sampdoria

1–0 Gabriel Strefezza ⚽

Tommaso Augello

9′

18′

🟨 Liam Henderson

18′

🟨 Lorenzo Insigne

Dominic Vavassori 🔁

↦ Gabriel Strefezza

21′

2–0 Joel Pohjanpalo ⚽

33′

Antonio Palumbo 🔁

↦ Hernani

45′

Half-time 2–0

Mattia Bani 🟨

47′

53′

🔁 Tjas Begic

↦ Danel Sinani

63′

⚽ Lorenzo Insigne 2–1

Tommaso Cassandro 🔁

↦ Niccolo Pierozzi

65′

Nahuel Estévez 🔁

↦ Filippo·Ranocchia

65′

70′

🔁 Oliver Abildgaard

↦ Lorenzo Insigne

83′

🔁 Lorenzo Mezzotero

↦ Yari Verschaeren

Alessandro Gabrielloni 🔁

↦ Joel Pohjanpalo

84′

Antonio Palumbo 🟨

92′

3–1 Antonio Palumbo ⚽

Dennis Johnsen

94′

Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Palermo

4-2-3-1

M. Perin G

N. Pierozzi D

M. Bani D

P. Ceccaroni D

T. Augello D

F. Ranocchia M

J. Segre M

Gabriel Strefezza M

Hernani M

D. Johnsen M

J. Pohjanpalo F

Bench (12)

12 M. Nespola

96 G. Magnani

11 E. Gyasi

6 C. Gomes

99 A. Gabrielloni

24 N. Estévez

84 T. Cassandro

33 A. Bozzolan

93 F. Barba

14 M. Fortin

5 A. Palumbo

9 D. Vavassori

Coach: F. Inzaghi

Sampdoria

4-3-3

P. Vindahl G

A. Di Pardo D

S. Gartenmann D

F. Delli Carri D

M. Cicconi D

A. Makoumbou M

Y. Verschaeren M

L. Henderson M

D. Sinani F

G. Tutino F

L. Insigne F

Bench (9)

28 O. Abildgaard

11 T. Begić

25 A. Ferrari

96 S. Massolo

39 L. Mezzotero

41 Noà Mondani

12 A. Krastev

40 Federico Piermattei

35 Leo Rodella

Coach: B. Corradi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

H ✓

1,81

🔒

Unibet 1,71 Betano 1,67 Pinnacle 1,66 10Bet 1,65 Dafabet 1,65 Superbet 1,65 1xBet 1,64 Betfair 1,62 Marathonbet 1,62 William Hill 1,62 SBO 1,60 Bet365 1,60 BetVictor 1,60

3,33

🔒

Dafabet 3,95 Pinnacle 3,91 Superbet 3,90 10Bet 3,80 Marathonbet 3,80 1xBet 3,78 Bet365 3,75 Betano 3,70 Betfair 3,70 BetVictor 3,70 SBO 3,64 Unibet 3,60 William Hill 3,60

4,19

🔒

Pinnacle 5,60 Bet365 5,50 Betano 5,50 Betfair 5,50 Marathonbet 5,25 Dafabet 5,20 1xBet 5,17 Superbet 5,15 10Bet 5,00 BetVictor 5,00 William Hill 5,00 SBO 4,84 Unibet 4,80

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

1,28

🔒