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Ligue 2
Referee: R Lissorgue
Rodez
U T T U S
1–4
Full-time
Metz
S T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rodez Metz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
2,0
3,3
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,3
This season — Ligue 2 · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 30%
20%
40%
Points per game
1,0
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
40%
60%
Both score Ø 30%
20%
40%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
0,8
1,8
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

47% Possession 53%
7 Shots 13
2 Shots on target 8
3 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 1
0 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rodez 17. · Metz 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Caen 5 3 2 0 +5 11
2 Dijon 5 3 2 0 +3 11
3 Guingamp 5 3 1 1 +3 10
4 Amiens 5 3 1 1 +1 10
5 Bordeaux 5 2 2 1 +3 8
6 Sochaux 5 2 1 2 +4 7
7 Metz 5 2 1 2 +3 7
8 Laval 5 2 1 2 +1 7
9 Nimes 5 2 1 2 +0 7
10 Le Havre 5 1 3 1 +5 6
11 Bastia 5 2 0 3 +0 6
12 Quevilly Rouen 5 1 3 1 +0 6
13 Paris FC 5 1 3 1 +0 6
14 Valenciennes 5 1 3 1 -1 6
15 Grenoble 5 1 3 1 -2 6
16 Niort 5 2 0 3 -5 6
17 Rodez 5 1 2 2 -2 5
18 St Etienne 5 0 3 2 -7 3
19 Annecy 5 0 2 3 -3 2
20 Pau FC 5 0 2 3 -8 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rodez Metz
Nassim Ouammou 🟨
19′
21′
G. Mikautadze 0–1
Y. Maziz
29′
🟨 Danley Jean Jacques
36′
G. Mikautadze 0–2
D. Jean Jacques
44′
M. Udol 0–3
G. Mikautadze
Half-time 0–3
A. Abdallah 🔁
↦ Plamedi Buni Jorge
46′
M. Senaya 🔁
↦ G. Coelho
46′
55′
🟨 Georges Mikautadze
C. Dépres 🔁
↦ Joseph Mendes
65′
A. Pembélé 🔁
↦ L. Buadés
65′
1–3 C. Dépres
B. Danger
69′
71′
🔁 A. Jallow
↦ G. Mikautadze
75′
Y. Maziz 1–4
H. Far 🔁
↦ K. Corredor
77′
79′
🔁 L. Joseph
↦ I. Niane
80′
🟨 Lenny Joseph
81′
🟨 Matthieu Udol
84′
🔁 K. N'Doram
↦ Y. Maziz
84′
🔁 K. Kouao
↦ F. Centonze
84′
🔁 Vagner
↦ L. Gueye
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Rodez

3-5-2
1 S. Cibois G
19 L. Buadés D
15 S. Raux-Yao D
5 K. Boma D
29 G. Coelho M
17 Plamedi Buni Jorge M
14 B. Danger M
6 R. Boissier M
7 N. Ouammou M
12 K. Corredor F
11 Joseph Mendes F
Bench (7)
28 A. Abdallah
20 M. Senaya
25 C. Dépres
24 A. Pembélé
27 H. Far
16 L. M'Pasi
18 A. Valério

Coach: L. Peyrelade

Metz

4-2-3-1
40 O. Ba G
18 F. Centonze D
4 B. Kouyaté D
5 Fali Candé D
3 M. Udol D
27 D. Jean Jacques M
19 H. Maïga M
20 L. Gueye M
10 Y. Maziz M
9 G. Mikautadze M
7 I. Niane F
Bench (7)
36 A. Jallow
24 L. Joseph
6 K. N'Doram
39 K. Kouao
77 Vagner
86 I. Traoré
34 J. N'Duquidi

Coach: L. Bölöni

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,57
U
3,07
B ✓
2,17
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,43
U2,5
1,53
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Lissorgue · 97 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.