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Ligue 2
Referee: Aurelien Petit
Metz
T U T T U
2–1
Full-time
Guingamp
U T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Metz Guingamp
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,3
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,8
2,2
Scored
1,2
0,7
Conceded
2,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

41% Possession 59%
15 Shots 12
7 Shots on target 7
5 Blocked shots 0
6 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

15. Feb -25 Guingamp – Metz 0–3 25. Oct -24 Metz – Guingamp 1–0 20. May -23 Guingamp – Metz 1–1 12. Sep -22 Metz – Guingamp 3–6 24. Feb -18 Guingamp – Metz 2–2

Match report

Metz Guingamp
Jessy Deminguet 🟨
19′
Pape Moussa Fall ❌
penalty missed
30′
Half-time 0–1
51′
⚽ A. Demouchy 0–1
A. Hemia
54′
🟨 Albin Demouchy
57′
🔁 T. Ducrocq
↦ F. Sanchez Da Silva
1–1 P. M. Fall ⚽
M. Colin
58′
2–1 G. Abuashvili ⚽
J. Deminguet
60′
H. Kadamani 🔁
↦ B. Munongo
65′
66′
🔁 J. Chamakh
↦ A. Hemia
66′
🔁 S. Ben Brahim
↦ T. Ahile
66′
🔁 D. Gomis
↦ J. Dianganga
74′
🔁 V. Muntu Wa Mungu
↦ J. Matumona
N. Mendy 🔁
↦ N. Mbala
79′
H. Diallo 🔁
↦ P. M. Fall
79′
M. Bokele Mputu 🔁
↦ G. Abuashvili
82′
Idris Mohamed 🟨
92′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Metz

5-3-2
1 J. Fischer G
22 N. Mbala D
2 M. Colin D
42 C. Devenish D
5 J. Ruiz D
3 F. Miguel D
98 I. Mohamed M
18 B. Munongo M
9 G. Abuashvili M
8 J. Deminguet F
11 P. M. Fall F
Bench (9)
61 P. Sy
6 N. Mendy
20 H. Diallo
7 I. Sane
19 M. Bokele Mputu
32 A. Marchal
21 J. Pandore
25 C. Melieres
38 H. Kadamani

Coach: Luc Holtz

Guingamp

4-4-2
16 A. Ortola G
3 J. Matumona D
36 A. Demouchy D
24 J. Dianganga D
2 E. Koffi D
11 T. Averlant M
4 D. Louiserre M
21 T. Ahile M
8 F. Sanchez Da Silva M
10 A. Hemia F
18 S. Kielt F
Bench (9)
1 T. Bartouche-Selbonne
39 V. Muntu Wa Mungu
23 J. Chamakh
38 E. Aucan
32 I. Diakite
20 S. Ben Brahim
7 D. Gomis
25 T. Ducrocq
31 J. Matondo

Coach: Sylvain Ripoll

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,03
🔒
U
3,34
🔒
B
3,32
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,91
🔒
U2,5
1,80
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.