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Ligue 2
Referee: R Landry
Rodez
U S U T T
1–3
Full-time
Metz
T T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rodez Metz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,8
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,5
3,2
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ligue 2 · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
1,0
2,0
Scored
0,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

37% Possession 63%
16 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 3
1 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rodez 13. · Metz 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Guingamp 1 1 0 0 +4 3
2 Amiens 1 1 0 0 +3 3
3 Paris FC 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 Annecy 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Grenoble 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Ajaccio 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Lorient 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Clermont 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Pau FC 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Metz 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Bastia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Laval 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 Rodez 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Martigues 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Caen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
16 Dunkerque 1 0 0 1 -2 0
17 Red Star 1 0 0 1 -3 0
18 Troyes 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rodez Metz
1′
C. Sabaly 0–1
15′
🟨 Maxime Colin
30′
C. Sabaly 0–2
I. Sané
Giovanni Haag 🟨
37′
44′
A. Ngouyamsa 1–2
own goal
Half-time 1–2
Dany Jean 🟨
46′
Dany Jean 🟨
49′
Dany Jean 🟥
49′
54′
Ibou Sane
penalty missed
2–2 W. Younoussa
G. Haag
59′
I. Baldé 🔁
↦ T. Nkada
60′
D. Mazou-Sacko 🔁
↦ W. Taïbi
60′
Y. Verdier 🔁
↦ M. Bouchouari
60′
C. Doumbia 🔁
↦ A. Abdallah
71′
M. Achi 🔁
↦ G. Haag
71′
73′
🔁 A. Atta
↦ A. Jallow
73′
🔁 P. Diallo
↦ C. Sabaly
74′
🟨 Gauthier Hein
82′
🟨 Arthur Atta
82′
🔁 M. Bokele Mputu
↦ I. Sané
89′
🟨 Fali Candé
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Rodez

3-5-2
1 S. Cibois G
6 A. Ngouyamsa D
24 L. Quenabio D
4 S. Mambo D
11 M. Bouchouari M
8 W. Younoussa M
5 G. Haag M
10 W. Taïbi M
28 A. Abdallah M
20 D. Jean F
9 T. Nkada F
Bench (7)
18 I. Baldé
19 D. Mazou-Sacko
26 Y. Verdier
23 C. Doumbia
7 M. Achi
16 L. Mpasi
21 J. Chougrani

Coach: D. Santini

Metz

3-4-3
16 A. Oukidja G
2 M. Colin D
8 I. Traoré D
3 M. Udol D
39 K. Kouao M
20 J. Deminguet M
7 G. Hein M
5 Fali Candé M
36 A. Jallow F
14 C. Sabaly F
9 I. Sané F
Bench (7)
25 A. Atta
10 P. Diallo
19 M. Bokele Mputu
15 A. Lô
61 P. Sy
6 J. Nduquidi
38 S. Sané

Coach: S. Le Mignan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,75
U
3,19
B ✓
2,56
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,09
U2,5
1,72
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Landry · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.